Who will win in Illinois?

[sg0508]

IL Democrats in Cook furiously come home at the end.  It's been that way time and time and time again in many of these races where it looks like the GOP candidate is either far ahead, or with a smaller lead, but is likely to win.

I still believe at the end of the day, Quinn pulls this out.

[sg0508]

Keep in mind, for those saying the Democratic "coming home" effect is overrated, Moseley-Braun was within a week or so back in '98 from beating Fitzgerald with her furious last minute surge, coming from 15 pts down to losing by three.  Fitzgerald disappeared the last few weeks, which was a huge mistake, but the fact that she almost stole that race shouldn't be forgotten.

[sg0508]

Amazing how when I looked back at all the polls from the 2010 race, Brady didn't trail in a single poll from August on and still lost.  That race was highly polled too.  Brady must have lost the late-deciders (the "come homers") 90/10 to blow that race.

It's amazing how from some of the posts within this discussion, the perception of the total incompetence of the GOP in IL