Which of these red state Republicans is most likely to win in November?

[MT Treasurer]

I would say Braun, with Hawley a somewhat distant second. Cramer and Morrisey are definitely underdogs, and fairly overrated anyway IMO.

[Lamda]

Missouri,Braun is overrated and Donnelly is in a better shape than McCaskill.

[Blackacre]

Hawley, mainly because Missouri is a redder state and Braun isn't any better of a candidate than Hawley

[here2view]

Braun. McCaskill is better than Donnelly.

[Xing]

1. Braun
2. Hawley
3. Cramer
4. Morrisey

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Braun

[The Other Castro]

1. Braun
2/3. Cramer/Hawley
4. Morrisey

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Braun due to Mike Pence coattails

And then I think Nelson because of his age, but he's still favored

[RINO Tom]

Hawley, mainly because Missouri is a redder state and Braun isn't any better of a candidate than Hawley

I wouldn’t say MO is more Republican than Indiana ... anyway, Braun.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Imo Braun > Morrissey > Heitkamp > Hawley

I think all have basically the same chances of winning come November, though. RN I expect half of them to win.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

My guess:

Overall, I think all 4 are going to lose, and all the Democrats will win.

Of these 4 candidates, I would say the most likely to win to least likely to win goes like this:

Lean D
Morrissey (35%)
Cramer (30%)
Lean D

Likely D
Braun (20%)
Hawley (15%)
Likely D

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Hawley. McCaskill isn't that strong of a candidate. She just got very lucky last time.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Hawley. McCaskill isn't that strong of a candidate. She just got very lucky last time.

She would have won even if Akin did not make his enormous gaffe.

Even a serious gaffe like that one would not truly result in a entire 15% shift in margins, and McCaskill ended up winning by more than 15%.

[KingSweden]

Hawley, mainly because Missouri is a redder state and Braun isn't any better of a candidate than Hawley

I wouldn’t say MO is more Republican than Indiana ... anyway, Braun.

[Sestak]

Braun. Hawley has to deal with Greitens f**king stuff up.

[UncleSam]

Braun

Second pick would be Cramer actually. Don’t understand the forum wide Heitkamp fetish that has taken hold of Atlas. Cramer is a somewhat generic at large rep with no serious challenger in arguably the reddest state up this year (WV voted more for Trump but is more elastic and has more of a Dem history). Don’t see why Hawley or Morrisey is a better bet to win at this point.

I think in the end two will win if I had to guess, though I could see anywhere from 1-3 winning. I doubt the extremes will hit either way though as a lot of Dems seem to think (or as LL likes to have wet dreams about).

[windjammer]

Guys,
You all need to remember we have no idea how Braun will campaign, he's a total wild card.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

McCaskill is actually a very skilled politician and a great candidate. MO just doesn't like her for some reason.

[Rhenna]

1: Braun
2/3: Morrisey/Cramer
4: Hawley