Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)

[RI]

Cruz now at 53% in KS

[Sir Mohamed]

Yep, Cruz is gonna win KS.

[Maxwell]

Man Cruz is just swamping Kansas. I did not expect this level of performance.

Maybe Vosem might be right on the whole Romney speech swaying a certain segment of Rubio voters. The question is whether Cruz voters give a damn elsewhere.

[yankeesfan]

Cruz 1244 52.6%
Trump 499 21.1%

[Vosem]

Honestly, Maine was always seen as the safest _trump state tonight,

Uh... LA should be way safer for Trump than ME.

How so? I'm legitimately curious. LA borders states where _trump lost and where he got <35% of the vote, and there is a single anti-_trump candidate there. By contrast, ME borders much stronger _trump-performing areas and there didn't seem to be a clear anti-_trump candidate there until the votes started coming in (most were predicting Kasich in second). I understand that ME is a caucus and LA is a primary, but...

[The Other Castro]

Could Cruz be the first candidate to break 50% in a state?

[Bigby]

If Cruz wins Kansas by a landslide, how boned is Trump from here on out?

[Sir Mohamed]

From TRUMP to _trump

[cinyc]

Man Cruz is just swamping Kansas. I did not expect this level of performance.

Maybe Vosem might be right on the whole Romney speech swaying a certain segment of Rubio voters. The question is whether Cruz voters give a damn elsewhere.

Things can change, especially for Rubio.  None of the KC Suburbs in KS-3 are in yet.  But yes, Cruz will win Kansas.

[RI]

Honestly, Maine was always seen as the safest _trump state tonight,

Uh... LA should be way safer for Trump than ME.

How so? I'm legitimately curious. LA borders states where _trump lost and where he got <35% of the vote, and there is a single anti-_trump candidate there. By contrast, ME borders much stronger _trump-performing areas and there didn't seem to be a clear anti-_trump candidate there until the votes started coming in (most were predicting Kasich in second). I understand that ME is a caucus and LA is a primary, but...

Honestly, Maine was always seen as the safest _trump state tonight,

Uh... LA should be way safer for Trump than ME.

Why?

Black Belt + Cajun Country in Louisiana while Trump's weak in upper New England (maxes out at ~35% there). LA has consistently been one of Trump's strongest states on iSideWith and Facebook.

[The Other Castro]

CNN: Cruz campaign feeling good about Maine and Louisiana as well, but not necessarily wins. Feeling good about decent delegate counts.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Looks like Cruz will probably heavily overperform his numbers in Kansas.

[Vosem]

Oh, sorry realistic, I didn't see the answer the first time. I suppose that makes sense.

[Maxwell]

If Cruz wins Kansas by a landslide, how boned is Trump from here on out?

Probably not that much - Kansas is definitely a state that would hate Trump and embrace Cruz.

And I think, beyond anything else, Cruz comes out ahead or at least strongly competing with Trump in the delegate county from today's contests.

[Firestorm]

The more I hear about caucuses, state by state, the worse they sound.

Caucuses are shady and undemocratic. I could understand them being common in places like Mexico or Iran but they have no place in America. Caucuses are an abomination and state parties that run should have their offices sacked.

[/]

Anyone find a KS county map?

[RI]

Anyone find a KS county map?

Very possible we never get county results for some of these caucus states.

[ElectionsGuy]

Even though these are early, it looks like Cruz is on track to win Kansas.

[GLPman]

Looks like today is shaping up to be a big day for Cruz.

[/]

Anyone find a KS county map?

Very possible we never get county results for some of these caucus states.

;-;

[Sir Mohamed]

Looks like Cruz will probably heavily overperform his numbers in Kansas.

And pollsters have to answer again, why they were so dead wrong. Especially about the Trumpster. Looks like he loses all states with a lead below 10% in the polls.

[win win]

Almost all of the results in Kansas have been in the rural district 1. No votes from Kansas City has been counted yet.

[Maxwell]

The areas where Kasich and Rubio would do better are still out, so I think both will come out with delegates, but yeah, I think with the areas out I think it's safe to say Cruz got it.

Looks like Cruz will probably heavily overperform his numbers in Kansas.

And pollsters have to answer again, why they were so dead wrong. Especially about the Trumpster. Looks like he loses all states with a lead below 10% in the polls.

That Kansas poll had decimals. Who really thought that was a reliable poll?

[Orthogonian Society Treasurer]

Are people really surprised that Cruz is dominating in Kansas? It's Kansas.

[DINGO Joe]

The more I hear about caucuses, state by state, the worse they sound.

Caucuses are shady and undemocratic. I could understand them being common in places like Mexico or Iran but they have no place in America. Caucuses are an abomination and state parties that run should have their offices sacked.

Har