Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)
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Author Topic: Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)  (Read 53895 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #125 on: March 05, 2016, 03:25:08 PM »
I'm not going to say Cruz is strong in Maine until actual results come in, but if he is, what would be the explanation? He was weak in MA, NH, VT, etc.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #126 on: March 05, 2016, 03:25:49 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on March 05, 2016, 03:25:08 PM
I'm not going to say Cruz is strong in Maine until actual results come in, but if he is, what would be the explanation? He was weak in MA, NH, VT, etc.

Caucus + past Paul strength
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #127 on: March 05, 2016, 03:26:02 PM »
Quote from: Bigby on March 05, 2016, 03:24:17 PM
I love how informal results for Maine are popping up when the state doesn't end polling until 7 PM.

Different counties have different caucus times.  These are for the caucuses that have concluded already.
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Asian Nazi
d32123
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« Reply #128 on: March 05, 2016, 03:26:10 PM »
This TRUMP speech is great!
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OkThen
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« Reply #129 on: March 05, 2016, 03:26:16 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 05, 2016, 03:24:12 PM
Quote from: Castro on March 05, 2016, 03:23:35 PM
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on March 05, 2016, 03:22:45 PM
Cruz could actually end up winning two or three states today...

Wow.

What's the third state?

KS, ME, and KY, presumably.

But...

https://twitter.com/joesonka/status/706192250104115200
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #130 on: March 05, 2016, 03:26:26 PM »
Quote from: Bigby on March 05, 2016, 03:24:17 PM
I love how informal results for Maine are popping up when the state doesn't end polling until 7 PM.

Each caucus site has different times.  Most of them are already done.
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The Free North
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« Reply #131 on: March 05, 2016, 03:26:57 PM »
Quote from: Bigby on March 05, 2016, 03:24:17 PM
I love how informal results for Maine are popping up when the state doesn't end polling until 7 PM.

Once again...the state has caucuses in each county which end at different times. "The polls" dont close at 7 so to speak.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #132 on: March 05, 2016, 03:27:05 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 05, 2016, 03:25:49 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on March 05, 2016, 03:25:08 PM
I'm not going to say Cruz is strong in Maine until actual results come in, but if he is, what would be the explanation? He was weak in MA, NH, VT, etc.

Caucus + past Paul strength

Which is super odd, considering most of the results that have come in so far have had no correlation between areas where Ron Paul was strong and areas where Ted Cruz is strong.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #133 on: March 05, 2016, 03:27:29 PM »

I would be personally quite surprised if Trump lost Kentucky, but I'm assuming that's what dar was referring to.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #134 on: March 05, 2016, 03:27:45 PM »
Quote from: Castro on March 05, 2016, 03:23:35 PM
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on March 05, 2016, 03:22:45 PM
Cruz could actually end up winning two or three states today...

Wow.

What's the third state?

He didn't do too bad in Arkansas, and though I know Louisiana will probably be more favorable for Trump, I wouldn't be surprised if Cruz did better than expected.
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Vosem
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« Reply #135 on: March 05, 2016, 03:28:41 PM »
Honestly, Maine was always seen as the safest trump state tonight, with a Cruz victory in Kansas likely and Kentucky and Louisiana as longshots for the Cruz campaign (which I think they still are, unfortunately). It's hard to say which would be more favorable, since LA is better geographically (notably the border with LA was one of Cruz's strongest areas of Texas) while KY is a caucus, and he's always showed strength in caucuses.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #136 on: March 05, 2016, 03:29:22 PM »
Quote from: Vosem on March 05, 2016, 03:28:41 PM
Honestly, Maine was always seen as the safest trump state tonight,

Uh... LA should be way safer for Trump than ME.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #137 on: March 05, 2016, 03:30:16 PM »
More Kansas votes in (still only a tiny amount counted)

Cruz 45.0
Trump 28.5
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PaperKooper
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« Reply #138 on: March 05, 2016, 03:30:51 PM »
Here's a map of the primaries so far:
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Donnie
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« Reply #139 on: March 05, 2016, 03:31:35 PM »
I am changing my prediction from March 02, 2016, 06:16:57 am
CRUZ: Kansas
TRUMP: Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine

NOW:
THE ZODIAC KILLER: Kansas, Maine
THE DONALD: Kentucky, Louisiana
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Shadows
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« Reply #140 on: March 05, 2016, 03:32:07 PM »
Cruz winning around 50% of the votes in Maine! Weird

http://www.decisiondeskhq.com/march-5th-gop/

Cruz winning 45% in Kentucky!
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Bigby
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« Reply #141 on: March 05, 2016, 03:33:18 PM »
Quote from: Shadows on March 05, 2016, 03:32:07 PM
Cruz winning around 50% of the votes in Maine! Weird

http://www.decisiondeskhq.com/march-5th-gop/

Cruz winning 45% in Kentucky!

Kansas and Kentucky are the exact same...
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Maxwell
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« Reply #142 on: March 05, 2016, 03:33:23 PM »
The delegate threshold in Kansas is 10% - Keep that in mind while looking at Rubio and Kasich's totals.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #143 on: March 05, 2016, 03:33:29 PM »
Quote from: Shadows on March 05, 2016, 03:32:07 PM
Cruz winning around 50% of the votes in Maine! Weird

http://www.decisiondeskhq.com/march-5th-gop/

Cruz winning 45% in Kentucky!

Kentucky seems to be glitching out.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #144 on: March 05, 2016, 03:34:24 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 05, 2016, 03:29:22 PM
Quote from: Vosem on March 05, 2016, 03:28:41 PM
Honestly, Maine was always seen as the safest trump state tonight,

Uh... LA should be way safer for Trump than ME.

Why?
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Crumpets
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« Reply #145 on: March 05, 2016, 03:34:31 PM »
I think Kentucky is probably Trump's safest state today. Louisiana would be Cruz country any other year, and it has continually been one of Trump's worst-polling Southern states.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #146 on: March 05, 2016, 03:36:08 PM »

Black Belt + Cajun Country in Louisiana while Trump's weak in upper New England (maxes out at ~35% there). LA has consistently been one of Trump's strongest states on iSideWith and Facebook.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #147 on: March 05, 2016, 03:37:16 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 05, 2016, 03:36:08 PM

Black Belt + Cajun Country in Louisiana while Trump's weak in upper New England (maxes out at ~35% there).

Yeah, the wins in New Hampshire and Vermont obscure the fact that he really wasn't all that strong there all told, and Vermont in particular was a drastic underperformance. He also got weaker the further west you got in Massachusetts.
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #148 on: March 05, 2016, 03:38:10 PM »
Quote from: Bigby on March 05, 2016, 03:33:18 PM
Quote from: Shadows on March 05, 2016, 03:32:07 PM
Cruz winning around 50% of the votes in Maine! Weird

http://www.decisiondeskhq.com/march-5th-gop/

Cruz winning 45% in Kentucky!

Kansas and Kentucky are the exact same...
I think it is a glitch when you click on Kentucky results on the DD each candidate is at zero votes each.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #149 on: March 05, 2016, 03:39:08 PM »
It looks like DD fixed the KY glitch.
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