NV: Public Policy Polling: Heller (R) tied with Berkley (D)

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

This and Virginia are probably the purest toss-up races in the country at this point. I'd say that, purely as of right now, Massachusetts and Montana are Tilt D, Missouri and Ohio are Lean D, and Wisconsin and Florida depend on whether Thompson and Mack, respectively, win their primaries or not (Tilt R if they do, Lean D if they don't). Nebraska and North Dakota I think are pretty much gone by now.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Wisconsin and Florida depend on whether Thompson and Mack, respectively, win their primaries or not (Tilt R if they do, Lean D if they don't).

Florida won't be any worse than a tossup as long as Bill Nelson is running, even with Mack.

You're more familiar with the South than I am, so I'll take your word for it. Is Nelson a particularly popular Senator?