Quinnipiac-National: Clinton leads all GOPers, but Biden is doing better. (user search)
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  Quinnipiac-National: Clinton leads all GOPers, but Biden is doing better. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac-National: Clinton leads all GOPers, but Biden is doing better.  (Read 1550 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« on: August 27, 2015, 08:47:33 AM »

Quinnipiac is either brilliant or their methodology is screwed.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #1 on: August 27, 2015, 09:04:34 PM »

http://cookpolitical.com/story/8608
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2012/11/08/president-obama-and-the-white-vote-no-problem/

So I noticed that it is widely assumed that the 2016 electorate will be 70% white, 2% lower than 2012, yet Quinnipiac is assuming 74% white for this poll. Also, Hispanics are assumed to be 7%, lower than they were in 2012?? I can understand perhaps Black enthusiasm may dip, but with Trump, and Hillary fighting for citizenship, I think the Latino vote continues to make a bigger part of the pie. Yet despite all of that, she leads them all Smiley

Yeah, I read that, which is pretty much making me very wary of the Quinnipiac polls. Overestimating white turnout and underestimating minority turnout blew up in many faces in 2012, and, in fact, the GOP.
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