And then Egypt! Mubarak resigns - Egypt made its Revolution
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  And then Egypt! Mubarak resigns - Egypt made its Revolution
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Author Topic: And then Egypt! Mubarak resigns - Egypt made its Revolution  (Read 49698 times)
Bunwahaha [still dunno why, but well, so be it]
tsionebreicruoc
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,385
France


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« Reply #550 on: March 22, 2011, 01:18:21 PM »

Oh, about violences against Coptics, indeed I expected some would have jumped on it. France24 reporters went into districts where there has been violence. Spoke with some young Coptic guys, those had no doubt it was a mix of Salafists/Rugs manipulated by some counter-revolution forces. Then, they went to interview the big Coptic religious authority of the district, and same, he had no doubt that its was some shameful manipulation. Several days after, some politician activists have put the hand on several documents of counter-revolution plans, in which indeed some attempts to make religious troubles with Coptic were in good place.

Such counter-revolution things might not be the last ones we will see, it always happen, even in Tunisia where there were less possibilities to make troubles there has been several big attempts, then here we have some landlords that fully benefited of the regime who can bribe a lot of people of the shanty towns, and overall we have a 'young' guy who was about to become the big Pharao in a matter of months, and bum, suddenly, he loses all, power and money. He, his family, the landlords, the former ruling political networks, might have not been fond of all of that sudden interruption of demand of Rights against all those corrupted networks. The physical attacks toward ElBaradei during the referendum from 'Salafists' might be the same kinds of things, to try to associate what's happening with a 'guy from the outside that Egyptians don't want'. We shouldn't surprised if such kinds of things happen again.

About the referendum, the ambiance in which it happened seems to have been great with people very pleasured to participate in it. The 'Yes', which amongst its supporters had the former ruling party and MB, won over the 'No', supported by revolutionaries, by 77%. Turnout been 41%. The fact it happened globally quite well with a quite big turnout for the country has been saluted by most parts in the country as a big victory, even opposition who would have preferred the 'No' to build a totally new Constitution, not just an adaptation of the former one, has been very pleased of how it happened, and so far there hasn't been street movements against the results.

MB say they have been glad of the results, and didn't want to take power during next elections, but they still want to build a political party and an eventual coalition with secular parties.

Then so far seems they would be heading toward legislatives and presidential elections in 6 months. There apparently is some interesting big political figureheads, like Ayman Noor, a centrist, which seems to be quite smart, pragmatic, tolerant, realistic, constructive, and who could run for presidency. The biggest figurehead would remain Amr Mussa though, one which at the end of the day doesn't seem to be a bad too, though I'm not sure whether he's playing a stupid politician game with Arab League and what happens with Libya. I regret that ElBaradei decided to run too since he apparently never succeeded to have a big role in the opposition, I would have preferred he supports someone who would have the same kind of ideas than him and who was a big opponent from the inside.

Then, they could also gain further institutional reforms thanks to coming elections, or who knows, it could also follow a Tunisian evolution, with a Revolution that reaches its institutional level thanks to new street movements, which would be more surprising and especially more difficult given the Egyptian situation though. In one way or an other may they find a way to build a good political structure, there will certainly be an hard work for that, and even if they know some new other troubles from one way or an other (a building of the Interior Ministry in Cairo has burned today) seems that so far they remain in a quite positive dynamic, which is pleasant to see.
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