AZ-Gravis-Ducey+4 (user search)
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  AZ-Gravis-Ducey+4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ-Gravis-Ducey+4  (Read 847 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,478
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: September 09, 2018, 02:08:47 PM »

Hispanic turnout is going to be a problem for Dems this year.

Ducey is receiving a bump for the McCain funeral by his appointment of Jon Kyl, but the Senate race is a tossup.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,478
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: September 09, 2018, 04:18:46 PM »

The McCain funeral has raised prospects for GOP in AZ, Dems do have NV & TN to fall back om
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,478
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: September 09, 2018, 04:45:08 PM »

Alot of these races oversampling of Latinos combined with the sympathy vote for McCain,. However, Ducey survived a close race in 2014, he doesn't win big.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,478
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: September 09, 2018, 09:01:50 PM »

>Gravis

I'm still rating this Lean R for now, but I could see this going Democratic if Democrats have a very good night.

Hopefully we'll get some better quality polls in the near-future.

It's a change election and states won't vote the same way in presidential elections as opposed to statewide
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,478
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: September 10, 2018, 11:31:26 AM »

AZ isn't a solid Dem state yet like NV and CO are
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