McGinty isn't going to be the 50th or 51st seat though. It's probably the 54th. So if McGinty wins, great. If she loses, who cares? Hillary doesn't need her.
Wulfric, that logic makes no sense. Democrats / Hillary know full well that if they don't pick up as many seats as possible this cycle, then they will be at a much higher risk of losing the Senate again in 2018. How are they supposed to confirm federal judges and fill possible USSC seats if they lose the Senate in 2018? They have every incentive to pick up as many seats as possible, and PA is winnable for them this year, so if something is lacking in that race (funding or support from Clinton), then it won't be due to DNC folks saying "meh, we don't really need it anyway."
And I don't understand what you mean by "isn't going to be the 50th or 51st seat", there is no order to this, unless you want to say that IL and WI are sure things and would definitely count as the 47th and 48th seats. Atlas is really going overboard with this "if they win this state, they've already won"-logic. The combinations of states people are using this logic for is getting quite amusing.
If the Democrats don't win the PA Senate seat, I can't see how they'll carry the Senate.
Marco Rubio's back in the race in FL, and while he's not helped himself, he is a slight fave.
It's actually quite easy. WI + IL + NH + FL. Even if you think Rubio will win, Portman has been deadlocked with Strickland in the polls for months now, and that race appears to be more competitive than Pennsylvania's. You also have McCain who's highly vulnerable this time, and an outside chane of Burr losing who will be stuck with Trump and McCrory dragging him down.
