Emerson: RI - Clinton +20 / AZ - Clinton +2 / NV - Tied / FL - Trump +1 (user search)
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  Emerson: RI - Clinton +20 / AZ - Clinton +2 / NV - Tied / FL - Trump +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Emerson: RI - Clinton +20 / AZ - Clinton +2 / NV - Tied / FL - Trump +1  (Read 3531 times)
pbrower2a
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Posts: 26,839
United States


« on: October 06, 2016, 09:00:56 AM »

http://www.theecps.com/ has crosstabs and Excels.

Among whites in Arizona, it's 39% Clinton to 44% Trump and 11% Johnson.

Among whites in Nevada, it's 34% Clinton, 53% Trump, 7% Johnson, 5% Stein.

Among whites in Florida, it's 32% Clinton, 55% Trump, 6% Johnson, 4% Stein.

If it's close to 40% for Clinton among whites in Arizona, then it is game over there.

44% of the non-Hispanic white vote in Arizona is far from adequate for a Trump win in Arizona. I can only imagine how many mixed-ethnicity Millennial and Generation-X youth (Anglo and Hispanic parents) there are in Arizona; it must be a significant percentage), so the classification may be shady without anyone being at fault. Likewise Nevada (where 54% of the white non-Hispanic vote will be inadequate for Trump) or Florida. I am guessing that this pollster is English-only.

 
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