OR-GOV - Hoffman Reseach (Independent Poll): Drazan + 2

[2016]

Drazan 37 %
Kotek 35 %
Johnson 17 %
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BcVjJwXXIQSGnKkYIrjeEpW5ABR986AI/view

[sg0508]

Watch the GOP blow another one in OR lol. 

I'm fully expecting it.

[Sestak]

Tinamentum!

[OSR stands with Israel]

Tinamentum!

Not really , as other than Clout this has pretty much been the result of every poll here

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We don't know how much Johnson will get so this race is a tossup

[wbrocks67]

Same old story here - Drazan gets 81% of Republicans, while Kotek only gets 68% of Ds

Johnson is getting 14% of Democrats and 9% of Rs, and in a state that has a huge D-reg advantage, that is a pretty big delta.

Can't imagine Johnson support sustains. 59% of Johnson voters say they may change their mind, vs only 25% for Kotek and Drazan supporters.

[Person Man]

People are coming home, I guess.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Another question I haven't seen answered: Wyden is also on the ballot this year and most recent polls have him winning with near 60%. Who are these nearly 20-25% of voters people believe are voting Wyden but not Kotek? I understand many will say that they're Wyden/Johnson supporters but I think that's unlikely in the end. Betsy will collapse in the end and voters will come home.

Quote me. Kotek will win this in the end, even if it's by an underwhelming margin.

[wbrocks67]

Another question I haven't seen answered: Wyden is also on the ballot this year and most recent polls have him winning with near 60%. Who are these nearly 20-25% of voters people believe are voting Wyden but not Kotek? I understand many will say that they're Wyden/Johnson supporters but I think that's unlikely in the end. Betsy will collapse in the end and voters will come home.

Quote me. Kotek will win this in the end, even if it's by an underwhelming margin.

MTE. I know Wyden is a strong incumbent, but if there was such a "Dem backlash" in OR, wouldn't it start affecting him too? If it's affecting not only GOV, but house races?

Likewise though, it feels prudent that Wyden tries to help Kotek out here.

[Sir Mohamed]

Tilt R.

As I said earlier, I expect Dems to finally run out of luck here.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tilt R.

As I said earlier, I expect Dems to finally run out of luck here.

Didn't Sir Muhammad say that Harris would be the best Veep ever along with President Johnson we are gonna win the blue wall but some of the issue lies with Filibuster of Voting Rights and border security Biden administration has and Harris unpopularity that's why Newsom keeps coming up as successor to Biden not Harris and Sir Muhammad despite making a D nut map in 2020 with FL and NC keep saying races MOE like WI and OR and NV are Lean R no they're not

Trafalgar had Trump +1 in MI and Trump Lost in MI

A female Veep can't hide out like a male Veep because everyone wants to see a female that's why Ferraro and Palin failed in their bids as Veep, Harris should of been Orez not Veep

[Eraserhead]

We don't know how much Johnson will get so this race is a tossup

It won't be anywhere near 17%.

I think there's a nasty surprise coming for Republicans here.