CBS News/YouGov: Close races in AZ & NV, Hillary way ahead in VA (user search)
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  CBS News/YouGov: Close races in AZ & NV, Hillary way ahead in VA (search mode)
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Author Topic: CBS News/YouGov: Close races in AZ & NV, Hillary way ahead in VA  (Read 5512 times)
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xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,299
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: August 07, 2016, 09:56:08 AM »

That VA number seems a bit inflated, but maybe VA really is becoming less of a swing state. Not surprised about NV. Those of you thinking it will be close will be shocked again on election night, when Hillary easily takes it by more than the actual swing states. No way is it only four points to the left of AZ.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,299
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: August 07, 2016, 12:53:52 PM »

So, Nevada: Lean TRUMP

CBS/YouGov 8/2-8/5, Nevada: 990 LV
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/z0kcmymyf0/ForRelease_NV_20160807.pdf
Indpendents: TRUMP 49% >>>> Hillary 19% >> Johnson 7% > Sein 2%
Republicans: TRUMP 85% >>> Hillary 6% > Johnson 3% >  Stein 0%
Democrats: Hillary 88% >>> TRUMP 5% > Johnson 3% > Stein 0%

Election 2012, Nevada, Independent Voters: Romney 50% > Obama 43%. Obama +7%
CBS/YouGov 8/2-8/5, Nevada, Indp 300 LV: TRUMP 49% >>> Hillary 19%.  TRUMP +30%

 
What does it all mean?
1. This poll underweighted repulbican horribly, Sad!
2. TRUMP can't lose NV, Because he takes the 30% leads of Independent voters.
3. Nevada=Lean TRUMP

You're going to be in for a very depressing night on November 8th.
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