It's incredibly frustrating to see that Trump was ahead in a Kerry state after the first debate AND tax return scandal. I thought WI was locked down for months and now it's getting weird when things seem to be going really well for Hillary.
The fact that neither campaign has spent any money on ads here in the last two months suggests VERY strongly that all internal polling indicates a comfortable Wisconsin win-- by which I mean, the margin in WI will be larger than the margins in NH and PA (where the Clinton campaign is spending a lot of money).
Word is that Trump has pulled out of PA and is shifting those resources to Wisconsin. Sounds like a $600K ad buy is coming.
So this is the best Trump is hoping for now?
That's a 269 tie. Trump must really be banking on one of Nevada, New Hampshire, or ME-2.
Trump wins in a tie.
Debatable. The pressure on some electors to switch would be enormous. And even if it did go to the House, it's not a lock that Trump would win there. Yes, I know that Republicans control a majority of state delegations -- but given the rifts between Trump and some in the GOP, there's no guarantee that they would all vote that way.
Of course, the really amusing idea would be to take that map and flip NE-02, with the result that Clinton wins a bare electoral majority because of a Nebraska district!
