List of potential upset victories in the presidential election

[elcorazon]

I don't understand this concept. It's all in the eye of the beholder. Is a state an upset if it goes against a recent poll? 2016 results? long history? I mean if I think Dems will win FL, is it an "upset"? I mean FL has historically (including 2016) been one of the closest swing states,  but atlas wisdom seems to view it as a very solid lean to Republicans. On the flip side, maybe I think Kansas or Alaska could flip (or be surprisingly close). Clearly those would be upsets, but even if I think that I'd have to admit those are much less likely than say a state like PA flipping. That's one reason the post suggesting states like WV isn't really a crazy post. That's the truest upset possibility in the country (DC I guess would be the craziest). But no one actually believes it will happen.