2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - Part 3
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - Part 3  (Read 130009 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1050 on: October 09, 2018, 10:14:24 AM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on October 09, 2018, 10:11:04 AM
Ohio (Baldwin Wallace University):

Democrats 43
Republicans 40

Virtually identical to their September poll

https://www.bw.edu/Assets/stories/2018/2018-Fall/cri-october_survey_report-final.pdf

Where that Kavanaugh bump at tho?

The GCB in Ohio in 2016 was R+16 btw so this is pretty bad for the Republicans.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1051 on: October 09, 2018, 10:15:52 AM »
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #1052 on: October 09, 2018, 10:17:21 AM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on October 09, 2018, 10:15:52 AM


They were at 44-40 in June, so this is basically just undecideds choosing their camp. Pretty good poll for Sherrill, I’d say.

The full poll is here: https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_nj_100918/
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1053 on: October 09, 2018, 10:20:12 AM »
Where’s muh Kavy bump?? Sad
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #1054 on: October 09, 2018, 10:26:13 AM »
NJ would be one of the place to have a reverse Kav bump.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #1055 on: October 09, 2018, 10:28:00 AM »
Perhaps, but you would expect a bump, if there were to be one, in R leaning districts...not happening so far

Quote from: superbudgie1582 on October 09, 2018, 10:26:13 AM
NJ would be one of the place to have a reverse Kav bump.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #1056 on: October 09, 2018, 10:43:35 AM »
« Edited: October 09, 2018, 11:08:59 AM by ON Progressive »
FL-15 (Club for Growth/Spano internal)

Ross Spano (R) 46
Kristen Carlson (D) 39

GCB is 48-44 Republican

https://cdn.clubforgrowth.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/CFG_FL_CD15_SurveyMemo_V1_181005.pdf
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Person Man
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« Reply #1057 on: October 09, 2018, 10:45:57 AM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on October 09, 2018, 10:43:35 AM
FL-15 (Club for Growth/Spano internal)

Ross Spano (R) 46
Kristen Carlson (D) 39

GCB is 48-44 Republican

https://twitter.com/actoraaronbooth/status/1049683886467416065?s=21

That would more or less collaborate a D+8 NPV.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1058 on: October 09, 2018, 10:55:59 AM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on October 09, 2018, 10:43:35 AM
FL-15 (Club for Growth/Spano internal)

Ross Spano (R) 46
Kristen Carlson (D) 39

GCB is 48-44 Republican

https://twitter.com/actoraaronbooth/status/1049683886467416065?s=21

That seems rather weak for the GOP in this district.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1059 on: October 09, 2018, 11:08:24 AM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on October 09, 2018, 10:55:59 AM
Quote from: ON Progressive on October 09, 2018, 10:43:35 AM
FL-15 (Club for Growth/Spano internal)

Ross Spano (R) 46
Kristen Carlson (D) 39

GCB is 48-44 Republican

https://twitter.com/actoraaronbooth/status/1049683886467416065?s=21

That seems rather weak for the GOP in this district.

Agreed.
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Xing
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« Reply #1060 on: October 09, 2018, 11:10:29 AM »

Yeah, Spano's probably going to win, but up just 7 in an internal is definitely a very weak number for Republicans here.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1061 on: October 09, 2018, 11:10:48 AM »
Democrats gain 3 points in CNN's Generic Ballot vs September:
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1062 on: October 09, 2018, 11:12:52 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 09, 2018, 11:10:48 AM
Democrats gain 3 points in CNN's Generic Ballot vs September:



Kavanaugh 👏🏻 Bump👏🏻
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1063 on: October 09, 2018, 11:14:06 AM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on October 09, 2018, 11:12:52 AM
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 09, 2018, 11:10:48 AM
Democrats gain 3 points in CNN's Generic Ballot vs September:



Kavanaugh  Bump

What a nice poll.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1064 on: October 09, 2018, 11:14:33 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 09, 2018, 11:10:48 AM
Democrats gain 3 points in CNN's Generic Ballot vs September:



Wow....what a....shocker. You...are telling me...that one poll...from Fox on ND....and a couple on TN....showing that the Ds are....behind....doesnt equate to the....nation as a whole?.......

Wow....didnt see...that coming....I thought the house....was gonna be a tossup...and the Blue Wave...was only gonna become a ripple...to the point...that we shouldnt even call it a wave....wow...I am shocked....shocked...I tell you.

Kavanaugh....was suppose....to derail the Blue Wave....and give the house...to the Rs.....what happened?
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Wisconsin SC Race 2019
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« Reply #1065 on: October 09, 2018, 11:15:26 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 09, 2018, 11:10:48 AM
Democrats gain 3 points in CNN's Generic Ballot vs September:


Great news, I admit. I'm gonna need that to be corroborated elsewhere (by pollsters with at least a B rating) before we start celebrating.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #1066 on: October 09, 2018, 11:15:53 AM »
Quote from: Secret Cavern Survivor on October 09, 2018, 11:14:06 AM
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on October 09, 2018, 11:12:52 AM
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 09, 2018, 11:10:48 AM
Democrats gain 3 points in CNN's Generic Ballot vs September:



Kavanaugh  Bump

What a nice poll.

Freedom poll.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1067 on: October 09, 2018, 11:16:50 AM »
Women are pissed!
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #1068 on: October 09, 2018, 11:20:06 AM »
The gender gap in the CNN poll is pretty Yuuuuuuuuuuge

https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/09/politics/cnn-poll-midterms/index.html
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #1069 on: October 09, 2018, 11:21:37 AM »
You telling me New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and California aren't like North Dakota and Tennessee?
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Wisconsin SC Race 2019
hofoid
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« Reply #1070 on: October 09, 2018, 11:22:06 AM »
The GOP has nothing but themselves to blame for that, but will it matter in Tennessee/North Dakota?
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #1071 on: October 09, 2018, 11:22:49 AM »
Well that's a shocker.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1072 on: October 09, 2018, 11:23:57 AM »
Someone should go into every thread that deals with the Ds losing big or if the house is lost, and should just post this poll.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #1073 on: October 09, 2018, 11:25:42 AM »
« Edited: October 09, 2018, 11:29:06 AM by Yank2133 »
One poll, but man are people dopes for GOP narrative spin.
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Wisconsin SC Race 2019
hofoid
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« Reply #1074 on: October 09, 2018, 11:26:34 AM »
Quote from: Zaybay on October 09, 2018, 11:23:57 AM
Someone should go into every thread that deals with the Ds losing big or if the house is lost, and should just post this poll.
It's one poll, from the same outfit that produced this gem:

https://www.cnn.com/2016/10/23/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-presidential-polls/index.html
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