2018 Congressional Generic Ballot/House Polls Megathread 2 - no debates please

[Holmes]

CA-45: Global Strategy Group (D), July 26-31, 500 likely voters (live caller poll)

Mimi Walters (R, inc) 45%
Katie Porter 44%

Mimi Imfurst Walters was number third one in the voting I could NOT believe it

Do not attack her fans. 

Of the sh**t that I've seen, she doesn't have that many.

[ajc0918]

CA-45: Global Strategy Group (D), July 26-31, 500 likely voters (live caller poll)

Mimi Walters (R, inc) 45%
Katie Porter 44%

Mimi Imfurst Walters was number third one in the voting I could NOT believe it

Do not attack her fans. 

Of the sh**t that I've seen, she doesn't have that many.

He was making a Ru Paul's drag race reference (as was I)

[Holmes]

CA-45: Global Strategy Group (D), July 26-31, 500 likely voters (live caller poll)

Mimi Walters (R, inc) 45%
Katie Porter 44%

Mimi Imfurst Walters was number third one in the voting I could NOT believe it

Do not attack her fans.  

Of the sh**t that I've seen, she doesn't have that many.

He was making a Ru Paul's drag race reference (as was I)

So was I. Rewatch the clip.

[ajc0918]

CA-45: Global Strategy Group (D), July 26-31, 500 likely voters (live caller poll)

Mimi Walters (R, inc) 45%
Katie Porter 44%

Mimi Imfurst Walters was number third one in the voting I could NOT believe it

Do not attack her fans.  

Of the sh**t that I've seen, she doesn't have that many.

He was making a Ru Paul's drag race reference (as was I)

So was I. Rewatch the clip.

I’ll sashay away now

[Gass3268]

CA-45: Global Strategy Group (D), July 26-31, 500 likely voters (live caller poll)

Mimi Walters (R, inc) 45%
Katie Porter 44%

Trump's approval is horrendous here too:

39% Approve
58% Disapprove

[IceSpear]

CA-45: Global Strategy Group (D), July 26-31, 500 likely voters (live caller poll)

Mimi Walters (R, inc) 45%
Katie Porter 44%

Trump's approval is horrendous here too:

39% Approve
58% Disapprove

Yet Walters continues to vote as if she represents AL-01.

The Republican Party is a big tent. You have the conservatives like Walters who vote with Trump 99% of the time, and the moderates like Comstock that who vote with Trump a mere 98% of the time.

[ajwiopjawefoiwefnwn]

CA-45: Global Strategy Group (D), July 26-31, 500 likely voters (live caller poll)

Mimi Walters (R, inc) 45%
Katie Porter 44%

Trump's approval is horrendous here too:

39% Approve
58% Disapprove

Yet Walters continues to vote as if she represents AL-01.

The Republican Party is a big tent. You have the conservatives like Walters who vote with Trump 99% of the time, and the moderates like Comstock that who vote with Trump a mere 98% of the time.

And then you have the real rebels who vote with Trump 97% of the time.

[Badger]

CA-45: Global Strategy Group (D), July 26-31, 500 likely voters (live caller poll)

Mimi Walters (R, inc) 45%
Katie Porter 44%

Trump's approval is horrendous here too:

39% Approve
58% Disapprove

Yet Walters continues to vote as if she represents AL-01.

The Republican Party is a big tent. You have the conservatives like Walters who vote with Trump 99% of the time, and the moderates like Comstock that who vote with Trump a mere 98% of the time.

This is such a brutally accurate indictment.

[smoltchanov]

CA-45: Global Strategy Group (D), July 26-31, 500 likely voters (live caller poll)

Mimi Walters (R, inc) 45%
Katie Porter 44%

Trump's approval is horrendous here too:

39% Approve
58% Disapprove

Yet Walters continues to vote as if she represents AL-01.

The Republican Party is a big tent. You have the conservatives like Walters who vote with Trump 99% of the time, and the moderates like Comstock that who vote with Trump a mere 98% of the time.

This is such a brutally accurate indictment.

(Looking at my "Almanac of American politics 1972") Sigh, yes. Though situation among Democrats is roughly the same..

[smoltchanov]

CA-45: Global Strategy Group (D), July 26-31, 500 likely voters (live caller poll)

Mimi Walters (R, inc) 45%
Katie Porter 44%

Trump's approval is horrendous here too:

39% Approve
58% Disapprove

Yet Walters continues to vote as if she represents AL-01.

The Republican Party is a big tent. You have the conservatives like Walters who vote with Trump 99% of the time, and the moderates like Comstock that who vote with Trump a mere 98% of the time.

This is such a brutally accurate indictment.

(Looking at my "Almanac of American politics 1972") Sigh, yes. Though situation among Democrats is roughly the same..

You know how goddamn stupid you sound by making these false equivalencies all the time? You clearly haven't looked at Congressional voting records. For every Susan Collins, there's three Dems to that vote more to the center than her. Same thing in the House.

It's you, who is stupid, not me. That's why i used words "roughly the same". There are slightly more centrists Democrats then Republicans, but - only slightly so. And tendency is the same - there are smaller and smaller number of them with each election. So - shut up, please.. Don't make out of yourself even bigger fool, then you are.

[Jeppe]

TX-32 Democratic internal poll
Pete Sessions (R) - 47%
Colin Allred (D) - 45%

Trump at 41% approval and Sessions at 38% approval

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/democratic-poll-shows-close-race-pete-sessions-seat-texas

[Hindsight was 2020]

CA-22: Nunes: 48, Janz: 43 http://www.aroundthecapitol.com/docs/ca22-tulchin.pdf

[ajc0918]

TX-32 Democratic internal poll
Pete Sessions (R) - 47%
Colin Allred (D) - 45%

Trump at 41% approval and Sessions at 38% approval

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/democratic-poll-shows-close-race-pete-sessions-seat-texas

Not sure what to make of it. I guess it confirms this is a real race.

[Strudelcutie4427]

TX-32 Democratic internal poll
Pete Sessions (R) - 47%
Colin Allred (D) - 45%

Trump at 41% approval and Sessions at 38% approval

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/democratic-poll-shows-close-race-pete-sessions-seat-texas

Not sure what to make of it. I guess it confirms this is a real race.

It’s an internal

[Landslide Lyndon]

TX-32 Democratic internal poll
Pete Sessions (R) - 47%
Colin Allred (D) - 45%

Trump at 41% approval and Sessions at 38% approval

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/democratic-poll-shows-close-race-pete-sessions-seat-texas

Not sure what to make of it. I guess it confirms this is a real race.

It’s an internal

And I'm sure Sessions will respond with his own internals showing him dominating in the district.

[ltomlinson31]

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1029382245180690432?s=19

[Zaybay]

TX-32 Democratic internal poll
Pete Sessions (R) - 47%
Colin Allred (D) - 45%

Trump at 41% approval and Sessions at 38% approval

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/democratic-poll-shows-close-race-pete-sessions-seat-texas

Not sure what to make of it. I guess it confirms this is a real race.

It’s an internal

And I'm sure Sessions will respond with his own internals showing him dominating in the district.

yeah, thats the thing with internals, they can either be spot on, or complete hogwash. But a clear sign to know if an internal is close to the real result is to see if the opponent will release an internal. If they do, then it should be between the two, if they dont, then, well, they might be in a bit of trouble.

[IceSpear]

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1029382245180690432?s=19

Great poll! Yet another Republican incumbent the pundits are vastly overrating.

[KingSweden]

Smith might really be the only GOPer left in NJ at this rate

[Zaybay]

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1029382245180690432?s=19

yep, Tom is screwed, its unlikely he will be the one to capture the undecided vote.

But I really wish Monmouth would do some other races, besides house ones. They have been helpful finding which seats are really tossups, like WV-03, but the senate and gubernatorial races are rather important too.

[Wiz in Wis]

There may be only one GOP rep in NJ after all this.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1029382502404775937

[IceSpear]

So the pundits keep moving races in favor of the Dems like every single time a new poll comes out...have they ever considered that maybe they should start moving some of the races without polls too, because their ratings are clearly way too GOP friendly? I suppose that's too logical.

[john cage bubblegum]

Very nice.  Winning NJ-03 should be a sign that Dems are winning the House by more than a razor-thin margin.

[Zaybay]

So the pundits keep moving races in favor of the Dems like every single time a new poll comes out...have they ever considered that maybe they should start moving some of the races without polls too, because their ratings are clearly way too GOP friendly? I suppose that's too logical.

Yeah, pundits seem to need a mountain of evidence to move a race towards the Dems, but need only one poll to move it to the GOP(looking at you Gonzalez, with the lean R rating for ND, and at you Cook, with the Oregon garbage)

[Gass3268]

MacArthur is going to get hammered with ads in the fall making sure everyone knows that he was the primary author of Trumpcare.