Trump approval ratings thread 1.2

[American2020]

Arizona

https://www.bizjournals.com/phoenix/news/2017/11/15/arizona-poll-shows-potential-trouble-for-trump-gop.html

[pbrower2a]

Well, aren’t most people likely to trust someone who seems to agree with them? Probably, but people differ enormously in gullibility. (People showing few right-wing authoritarian tendencies) are downright suspicious of someone who agrees with them when they can see ulterior motives might be at work. They pay attention to the circumstances in which the other fellow is operating. But (people with strong tendencies toward authoritarianism) do not, when they like the message.

So suppose you are a completely unethical, dishonest, power-hungry, dirt-bag, scum-bucket politician who will say whatever he has to say to get elected. ... Whom are you going to try to lead, people with strong tendencies toward authoritarianism or people who have few authoritarian tendencies? Isn’t it obvious? The (gullible right-wing authoritarians) will open up their arms and wallets to you if you just sing their song, however poor your credibility. Those crabby non-authoritarian types, on the other hand, will eye you warily when your credibility is suspect because you sing their song?

So the scum-bucket politicians will usually head for the right-wing authoritarians, because the (right-wing authoritarians) hunger for social endorsement of their beliefs so much they’re apt to trust anyone who tells them they’re right. Heck, Adolf Hitler was elected Chancellor of Germany running on a law-and-order platform just a few years after he tried to overthrow the government through an armed insurrection.

You sometimes hear that paranoia runs at a gallop in “right-wingers”. But maybe you can see how that’s an oversimplification. Authoritarian followers are highly suspicious of their many out-groups; but they are credulous to the point of self-delusion when it comes to their in-groups. So (in another experiment the author ran) subjects were told a Christian Crusade was coming to town led by a TV evangelist. The evangelist (the subjects were further told), knowing that people would give more money at the end of the evening if he gave them the kind of service they liked, asked around to see what that might be.

Finding out that folks in your city liked a “personal testimonial” crusade, he gave them one featuring his own emotional testimonial to Jesus’ saving grace. How sincere do you think he was? Most subjects had their doubts, given the circumstances. But (right-wing authoritarians) almost always trusted him.

http://members.shaw.ca/jeanaltemeyer...oritarians.pdf

(Regrettably the link is now dead).

[GeorgiaModerate]

SurveyMonkey weekly tracker

Approve 41 (nc)  Strongly 22 (nc)
Disapprove 57 (nc)  Strongly 45 (+1)

[OneJ]

Alabama-Fox News:
Source

Registered voters
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald
Trump is doing as president?

NET: APPROVE 53%
NET: DISAPPROVE 45%

(Among likely voters, it's 52-47)

[pbrower2a]

Alabama-Fox News:
Source

Registered voters
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald
Trump is doing as president?

NET: APPROVE 53%
NET: DISAPPROVE 45%

(Among likely voters, it's 52-47)

I'm going with likely voters.

FoX News uses objective polling. This Roy Moore debacle could be hurting the President in Alabama. Not that it is likely to hurt President Trump in 2020, it certainly isn't helping him now.


This approval map shows  electoral votes to the states on the approval map.

Trump approval, net positive

55% or higher
50-54%
44-49%

Ties are in white.

Trump approval, net negative

44-49%
40-45%
39% or lower

But raw disapproval numbers appear instead  of electoral votes here:

Disapproval (net negative for Trump) :

55% or higher
50-54%
44-49%

Ties are in white.

(net positive for Trump)
46-49%  
41-45%
40% or lower

[GeorgiaModerate]

Harvard-Harris monthly survey

Approve 41 (-1)
Disapprove 59 (+1)

This is a new low/high in this poll, which has been one of Trump's better ones.

[pbrower2a]

More on one of Trump's strongest states, and one of Obama's weakest (Alabama):

A new Fox News poll shows former President Barack Obama is more popular in Alabama than Donald Trump.

The poll, conducted from Monday to Wednesday and released Thursday, shows Obama with a 52 percent favorability rating in the state, compared to Trump’s 49 percent.

Trump won Alabama by 28 points in the 2016 presidential election, while Obama lost the state by about 22 points in 2008 and 2012.

Obama had a 45 percent unfavorable rating in the poll, while Trump had a 48 percent unfavorable rating.

Trump’s job approval rating in the poll was listed at 52 percent, while 47 percent disapprove of his job performance.

The same poll showed Democrat Doug Jones leading Republican Roy Moore by 8 points in the Alabama Senate race in the wake of sexual misconduct allegations against Moore.

The poll showed 50 percent of likely voters support Jones, while 42 percent support Moore.

The last Fox News poll on the race, conducted in mid-October, showed Jones and Moore were tied. Another recent poll from the Senate’s GOP campaign arm showed Moore trailing by double digits.

Moore has repeatedly denied allegations that he engaged in sexual misconduct with teenage girls when he was in his 30s. Numerous Republican lawmakers have called on Moore to drop out of the race, but he has vowed to finish the campaign.

The poll included a sample of 823 registered voters, with 649 identified as likely voters. The poll has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign-polls/360807-fox-news-poll-obama-has-higher-favorability-in-alabama-than-trump

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 11/16

Approve 37 (nc)
Disapprove 56 (-1)

[Brittain33]

Gallup 11/17

Approve 39 (+2)
Disapprove 56 (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 11/18

Approve 38 (-1)
Disapprove 57 (+1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 11/19

Approve 38 (nc)
Disapprove 57 (nc)

(Zzzzz....)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 11/20

Approve 36 (-2)
Disapprove 57 (nc)

[OneJ]

ARG, Nov. 17-20,
Source

Approve: 35%
Disapprove: 61%
Undecided: 4%

[GeorgiaModerate]

ARG, Nov. 17-20,
Source

Approve: 35%
Disapprove: 61%
Undecided: 4%

Fairly steady.  They had 34/61 in October and 35/59 in September.

[pbrower2a]

For a president not experiencing a bad international scene (like the Iranian hostage Crisis) or an economic meltdown, 35% disapproval is a reasonable floor.

[junior chįmp]

Rapist Trump goin that jail fam!

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Rapist Trump goin that jail fam!

Yeaaa budddy. Will Trump be able to Tweet from jail?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 11/21

Approve 38 (+2)
Disapprove 55 (-2)

[pbrower2a]

Well, aren’t most people likely to trust someone who seems to agree with them? Probably, but people differ enormously in gullibility. (People showing few right-wing authoritarian tendencies) are downright suspicious of someone who agrees with them when they can see ulterior motives might be at work. They pay attention to the circumstances in which the other fellow is operating. But (people with strong tendencies toward authoritarianism) do not, when they like the message.

So suppose you are a completely unethical, dishonest, power-hungry, dirt-bag, scum-bucket politician who will say whatever he has to say to get elected. ... Whom are you going to try to lead, people with strong tendencies toward authoritarianism or people who have few authoritarian tendencies? Isn’t it obvious? The (gullible right-wing authoritarians) will open up their arms and wallets to you if you just sing their song, however poor your credibility. Those crabby non-authoritarian types, on the other hand, will eye you warily when your credibility is suspect because you sing their song?

So the scum-bucket politicians will usually head for the right-wing authoritarians, because the (right-wing authoritarians) hunger for social endorsement of their beliefs so much they’re apt to trust anyone who tells them they’re right. Heck, Adolf Hitler was elected Chancellor of Germany running on a law-and-order platform just a few years after he tried to overthrow the government through an armed insurrection.

You sometimes hear that paranoia runs at a gallop in “right-wingers”. But maybe you can see how that’s an oversimplification. Authoritarian followers are highly suspicious of their many out-groups; but they are credulous to the point of self-delusion when it comes to their in-groups. So (in another experiment the author ran) subjects were told a Christian Crusade was coming to town led by a TV evangelist. The evangelist (the subjects were further told), knowing that people would give more money at the end of the evening if he gave them the kind of service they liked, asked around to see what that might be.

Finding out that folks in your city liked a “personal testimonial” crusade, he gave them one featuring his own emotional testimonial to Jesus’ saving grace. How sincere do you think he was? Most subjects had their doubts, given the circumstances. But (right-wing authoritarians) almost always trusted him.

http://members.shaw.ca/jeanaltemeyer...oritarians.pdf

(Regrettably the link is now dead).

But here is a live link:

http://www.electricpolitics.com/media/docs/authoritarians.pdf

[Virginiá]

Gallup (November 24th)

Approve 38% (nc)
Disapprove 55% (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 11/25

Approve 37 (-1)
Disapprove 57 (+2)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 11/25

Approve 37 (-1)
Disapprove 57 (+2)

Trump only bounced to -17 for Thanksgiving? Sad!

Clearly he's not receiving enough gratitude for pardoning the turkeys.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 11/26

Approve 37 (nc)
Disapprove 57 (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 11/27

Approve 37 (nc)
Disapprove 56 (-1)

[adrac]

Gallup, 11/27

Approve 37 (nc)
Disapprove 56 (-1)

zzzZZZ