2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread

[GeorgiaModerate]

WSJ/NBC

D: 50 (+11)
R: 39

Their previous poll in October was D+7.  They also find an intensity gap:

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[LimoLiberal]

Another one: http://www.philly.com/philly/news/ex-staffers-sen-daylin-leach-crossed-a-line-with-sex-talk-inappropriate-touching-20171217.html

Democrats have lost two top-tier candidates in competitive house races in the past week.

[Holmes]

Another one: http://www.philly.com/philly/news/ex-staffers-sen-daylin-leach-crossed-a-line-with-sex-talk-inappropriate-touching-20171217.html

Democrats have lost two top-tier candidates in competitive house races in the past week.

Good. If they're creeps then they shouldn't even be candidates.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

GOP = done!

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The RNC is still do far better than the DNC though (And the RNC raises more money than the DCCC).

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

For someone with a sense of humour you surely weren't able to handle me making fun of you. You also didn't seem to understand my point, in spite of all your genius. 

Voter: Congressman X shouldn't be in Congress
Smoltchanov: You cannot dictate who should be in Congress, only voters can decide that!

Like, if you don't understand how dumb your point is I'm not sure I could explain it to you.

(And I have a PhD too, well I have a PhD, let's put it that way. And I didn't curse you out like a 14-year old trying to look cool either so I must be the biggest genius in human history by your standards. You should probably sit down and listen to me)

Lol, maybe, but I know a fellow teen when I see one. You sir, act like one.

Ah, yes, Gustaf, the teen who has been registered here for 14 years.

Stupid Kamala, Gustaf registered right after he learned how to walk!

[Bidenworth2020]

We got any recruits for OH-06?

I think Strickland, or Johnson, or any Tim Ryan type might be able to flip it.

[Kamala]

We got any recruits for OH-06?

I think Strickland, or Johnson, or any Tim Ryan type might be able to flip it.

lol.

I don't think this seat is going to be competitive any time soon. However, if Democrats were going to be competitive, I think Lou Gentile would be a good candidate. Too bad he lost his state senate seat.

Jason Wilson would probably not be a terrible candidate either.

[junior chįmp]

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[YE]

Dems outraised the GOP throughout the 2000's? What?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Dems outraised the GOP throughout the 2000's? What?

2000 was a very good election for congressional Democrats.

[BuckeyeNut]

PG Sittenfeld being recruited for OH-01, but not committed.

[Hindsight was 2020]

PG Sittenfeld being recruited for OH-01, but not committed.

Apparently they are also recruiting the grandson of FDR VP Herny Wallace to run aganist Brian Fitzgerald

[GoldenMainer]

I wasn't sure where to put this but Jason Kander just endorsed Brent Welder for KS03.

https://twitter.com/JasonKander/status/942829552069480449

Kander has a nice following in the KC area so this should give Welder a little boost.

[LimoLiberal]

A Dem internal poll has Ed Royce in CA-39 up 48-44. https://www.scribd.com/document/367450908/CA-39-Tulchin-Research-for-Gil-Cisneros-Nov-2017

[GeorgiaModerate]

Dem internal poll has Ed Royce in CA-39 up 48-44. https://www.scribd.com/document/367450908/CA-39-Tulchin-Research-for-Gil-Cisneros-Nov-2017

I'm sure they'd settle for 52.

[YE]

Dem internal poll has Ed Royce in CA-39 up 48-44. https://www.scribd.com/document/367450908/CA-39-Tulchin-Research-for-Gil-Cisneros-Nov-2017

That's not a bad poll for someone with low name ID.

[LimoLiberal]

Dem internal poll has Ed Royce in CA-39 up 48-44. https://www.scribd.com/document/367450908/CA-39-Tulchin-Research-for-Gil-Cisneros-Nov-2017

Ike Skelton had a ten-point lead a week before election day.

Turnout differentials, turnout differentials.

The trump approval number is nowhere where it need to be for Democrats. Clinton won this district 51.5-42.9. Trump is only underwater in approval 41-56. That is legitimately terrific for Trump considering his nationwide approval ratings.

[Mike Thick]

Dem internal poll has Ed Royce in CA-39 up 48-44. https://www.scribd.com/document/367450908/CA-39-Tulchin-Research-for-Gil-Cisneros-Nov-2017

It's been clear for a while that Royce is in a much better position than Issa/Rohrabacher.

[Gass3268]

Dem internal poll has Ed Royce in CA-39 up 48-44. https://www.scribd.com/document/367450908/CA-39-Tulchin-Research-for-Gil-Cisneros-Nov-2017

Awesome Poll! The blue wave is rising! Royce is an institution, even being down is horrendous.

[LimoLiberal]

Yikes. Dem internal poll has Ed Royce in CA-39 up 48-44. https://www.scribd.com/document/367450908/CA-39-Tulchin-Research-for-Gil-Cisneros-Nov-2017

Throws some cold water on the hopes of a California sweep.

It's been clear for a while that Royce is in a much better position than Issa/Rohrabacher.

I believe that if Democrats can't win his district, they're not winning back the house. It went to Clinton by 8.5 points, the most out of any of those OC districts.

[The Other Castro]

Yikes. Dem internal poll has Ed Royce in CA-39 up 48-44. https://www.scribd.com/document/367450908/CA-39-Tulchin-Research-for-Gil-Cisneros-Nov-2017

Throws some cold water on the hopes of a California sweep.

It's been clear for a while that Royce is in a much better position than Issa/Rohrabacher.

I believe that if Democrats can't win his district, they're not winning back the house. It went to Clinton by 8.5 points, the most out of any of those OC districts.

Just taking the Clinton/Trump margin isn't the biggest factor in a lot of races. For example, Comstock (C+10) is much more likely to lose than Valadao (C+15.5), Bacon (T+2.2) is more likely to lose than Katko (C+3.3), and LoBiondo's open seat (T+4.6) is more likely to flip than Royce, as well as many other examples.

[junior chįmp]

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[Chancellor Tanterterg]

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As I’ve said, Barr will probably lose to either Gray or McGrath.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Yikes. Dem internal poll has Ed Royce in CA-39 up 48-44. https://www.scribd.com/document/367450908/CA-39-Tulchin-Research-for-Gil-Cisneros-Nov-2017

Throws some cold water on the hopes of a California sweep.

It's been clear for a while that Royce is in a much better position than Issa/Rohrabacher.

I believe that if Democrats can't win his district, they're not winning back the house. It went to Clinton by 8.5 points, the most out of any of those OC districts.

And I believe you're an annoying troll who takes advantage of the fact that the moderators of this forum are too nice, otherwise they would have sent you where you came from.
If you want to be a good troll at least learn some basic things about how politics work.

[Holmes]

Pro-Trump PAC has Dems up 12%, 37-49, and some other tax bill stuff.

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/republican-poll-shows-political-challenges-possible-benefits-of-passing-tax-bill/article/2643873