FL/OH/PA Quinnipiac: Close race in OH/PA, Clinton leads in FL

[Landslide Lyndon]

Clinton hasn't spent a dime on Pennsylvania. Maybe their polls show that the state isn't really that competitive.

[Landslide Lyndon]

WTF? These polls were conducted from 8-19 June.
Pretty worthless.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Can Trump win without Florida?

Well, if he wins New York and California...

[Landslide Lyndon]

QU is routinely undersampling Democrats in PA and I don't know why. Registration statistics and the 2012 exit poll show about a ten point margin for Democrats, but this poll has a (weighted!) four point margin, last month's had a five point margin, and the one in April had a Republican plurality. Florida's and Ohio's look more accurate, so I don't know what the deal is.

Most major pollsters are intentionally inflating Trumps numbers in order to discredit the Never Trump movement, but it won't work!

Yeah, I guess that's the reason why Quinnipiac consistently underestimated Clinton during the primaries too.

[Landslide Lyndon]

QU is routinely undersampling Democrats in PA and I don't know why. Registration statistics and the 2012 exit poll show about a ten point margin for Democrats, but this poll has a (weighted!) four point margin, last month's had a five point margin, and the one in April had a Republican plurality. Florida's and Ohio's look more accurate, so I don't know what the deal is.

Most major pollsters are intentionally inflating Trumps numbers in order to discredit the Never Trump movement, but it won't work!

[Landslide Lyndon]

The leads in Florida are just beautiful. Is Florida really just Clinton Country or is Trump just a terrible fit for the state?

Clinton is a good fit, she led McCain in 2008 by a lot. But TRUMP abusing and insulting local favorites Rubio and Jeb, as well Hispanics in general, certainly helps.