Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer (user search)
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  Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer (search mode)
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Author Topic: Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer  (Read 89590 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #50 on: April 02, 2019, 08:30:16 PM »

Ignore the concern troll, guys.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #51 on: April 02, 2019, 08:31:40 PM »

According to Decision Desk, Neubauer is up 9% with 30% in. No idea what's in and what isn't, though.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #52 on: April 02, 2019, 08:54:50 PM »


But now that’s the majority of the county. I’m not sure the rest will be enough to fest vote from elsewhere.

Still, with almost 100% of WOW counties reporting, Dane still having 33% to report is something for Lisa to feel good about.

If most of WOW is in, there's no way that Hagedorn is favored, despite typical Atlas bedwetting. This is closer than expected, and Hagedorn could still pull it off, but he'll need huge numbers from the rurals, and for the remaining Madison vote to be less friendly to Neubauer.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #53 on: April 02, 2019, 09:13:39 PM »

Statewide margin down to 3 with 55% in.
please explain to me how neubauer is going to win with all of dane and milwaukee in.

I don't have access to county results, but it's my understanding that Dane is not entirely in.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #54 on: April 02, 2019, 09:32:52 PM »

Are you all enjoying the teaser trailer for the 2020 election? Tongue
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #55 on: April 02, 2019, 09:41:48 PM »

If there's a takeaway point for Democrats for 2020, it's that they should do everything they can to pump out turnout in Milwaukee. Of course, other parts of the state matter as well, but had turnout been decent in Milwaukee, the race would've easily been over by now.

Anyway, I'd still rather be Neubauer than Hagedorn, but could we be headed for a recount here? Isn't the threshold 1%?
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #56 on: April 02, 2019, 09:55:30 PM »

Do we know that DDHQ is reporting all of the counties that JS has reported? That could be key here.
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