When will Williamson County, TN go Democratic? (user search)
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  When will Williamson County, TN go Democratic? (search mode)
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Author Topic: When will Williamson County, TN go Democratic?  (Read 1714 times)
RINO Tom
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Posts: 17,051
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Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« on: October 22, 2017, 09:37:21 AM »

Yeah that won't happen for a long time. It'll continue to move leftward but much more slowly than Delaware and Hamilton.

Why will it for sure continue to move leftward?
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RINO Tom
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Posts: 17,051
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2017, 12:05:13 PM »

Yeah that won't happen for a long time. It'll continue to move leftward but much more slowly than Delaware and Hamilton.

Why will it for sure continue to move leftward?
Exactly. We can't assume that.

Just my personal opinion.

Yeah, but why?  lol
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RINO Tom
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*****
Posts: 17,051
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2017, 01:48:37 PM »

2024,  it'll flip to Dems and never go back for the foreseeable future.

Incredibly skeptical of this idea that rich White people will become solid Democratic voters.
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RINO Tom
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*****
Posts: 17,051
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2017, 05:17:49 PM »

Yeah, I'm not saying currently suburban Republican counties will remain that way forever (unless and until the GOP starts doing better with more affluent minorities and younger voters, that is), not at all ... but the reason MOST of these counties switch is because of a very significant demographic change coupled with a really rather modest "shift" of a few college educated Whites to not voting Republican anymore.  For example, I think Lake County, IL still votes for Trump with its 2000 demographics ... the Whites who stopped voting Republican aren't the reason usually, they just pad the margins.  I don't see Williamson County changing enough demographically to start voting Democratic, and I also don't see Democrats winning wealthy Whites anytime soon, especially as millennials gain more power in the party.
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