Your Current 2014 House Ratings

[Morning in Atlas]

7:00 PM EST

Kentucky:

KY-6 (Likely R)

Indiana:

IN-2 (Likely R)

Virginia:

VA-2 (Likely R)
VA-10 (Lean R)

Georgia:

GA-12 (Lean D)

7:30 EST

North Carolina:

NC-7 (Safe R)

West Virginia:

WV-3 (Toss-Up/Tilts R)
WV-2 (Likely R) (Tilts R with Mooney)
WV-1 (Likely R)
Ohio:
OH-6 (Likely R)
OH-7 (Likely R)
OH-14 (Likely R)

8:00 PM EST

Florida:

FL-2 (Toss-Up/Tilts R)
FL-10 (Likely R)
FL-16 (Likely R)
FL-13 (Toss-Up)
FL-26 (Toss-Up)
FL-18 (Leans D)

Illinois:

IL-12 (Likely D)
IL-13 (Lean R)
IL-08 (Likely R)
IL-17 (Leans D)
IL-10 (Leans D)

Pennsylvania:
PA-6 (Leans R)
PA-8 (Leans R)
PA-12 (Likely R)

New Jersey:

NJ-3 (Toss-Up)


Connecticut:

CT-5 (Likely D)

Massachusetts:

MA-6 (Leans D) (Safe D with Moulton)

New Hampshire:

NH-1 (Toss-Up/Tilts D)

Maine:

ME-2 (Lean D)

8:30 PM EST

Arkansas:

AR-2 (Likely R)
AR-4 (Likely R)


9:00 PM EST

Texas:

TX-23 (Likely D)

Colorado:

CO-6 (Toss-Up)

Arizona:

AZ-1 (Toss-Up)
AZ-2 (Toss-Up)
AZ-9 (Leans D)

Louisiana:
LA-6 (Likely R)

New Mexico:

NM-2 (Likely R)

Nebraska:

NE-2 (Leans R)

Minnesota:

MN-2 (Likely R)
MN-3 (Likely R)
MN-7 (Likely D)
MN-8 (Leans D)

Wisconsin:

WI-7 (Likely R)
WI-8 (Likely R)

Michigan:

MI-1 (Lean R)
MI-3 (Likely R)
MI-7 (Leans R)
MI-8 (Leans R)
MI-11 (Leans R)

New York:

NY-1 (Lean D)
NY-11 (Toss-Up/Tilts R)
NY-18 (Leans D)
NY-19 (Leans R)
NY-21 (Toss-Up/Tilt R)
NY-23 (Leans R)

10:00 PM EST

Iowa:

IA-3 (Toss-Up)

Utah:

UT-4 (Safe R)

Nevada:

NV-3 (Leans R)
NV-4 (Likely D)

11:00 PM

California:
CA-7 (Leans D)
CA-10 (Likely R)
CA-21 (Likely R) (Safe R with Fernandez)
CA-25 (Likely R) (Leans R with Knight)
CA-26 (Likely D)
CA-31 (Likely D)
CA-52 (Toss-Up)

[Morning in Atlas]

Minnesota:

MN-1 (Lean D)
MN-2 (Lean R)
MN-3 (Likely R)
MN-8 (Likely D)

I have never seen MN-1 as anything other than Safe Dem.

It shoudl probably be Likely D, but its a very closely divided district that narrowly went Obama.

Walz took 57.5% in 2012 and won by 5 in 2010. He's safe.

[Morning in Atlas]

How in the hell is FL-18 Safe R!?!? Patrick Murphy is proving to be a popular, moderate Democrat with solid fundraising skills and has ultra-mega-crap opponents. It's MUCH closer to Safe D than to Safe R. Also disagree with FL-20, it's D+28 and should be without a doubt Safe D (don't know why it's at slight D right now) and FL-13, Jolly barely won with crappy turnout, should be Tossup or at most Slight R.

Crap, I don't know why I did that.  The slight D was meant for Murphy.  I really don't know how I did that.  I will fix that in the next update.  I do agree with you on FL 13, but Dems have almost no one to run for the seat, hence the rating.  A lot of these take into account the candidates running, as evident in IL-3 with the crazy homophobie as the rep nominee.

*Ehrlich and Justice would be strong candidates. I'd say it's FL-13 is a toss-up at this point.
*The homophobe is running in IL-9 and there's no way that seat's flipping (or IL-3, Lipinski is a good fit for the district).

My main issue is with NH-2's rating - while you can make a case for MA-6 and even ME-2, Garcia and Lambert aren't the type of Pubs that can get elected in that district. Paulists have a chance, and a moderate, but couple the bad candidates with a strong incumbent and NH-2 is at the very least Likely D. Also, PA-6 isn't safe anymore since Gerlach is gone.

[Morning in Atlas]

I probably forgot to change a few more (like LA-5, there's no way they're electing a black Democrat who endorsed Obama in a northern Louisiana district), and I'm pretty sure I colored NY-21 in wrong (should be Tilts R), but these are my ratings.