WA: Rasmussen: Incumbent Cantwell (D) lead narrows against McGavick (R) in Washington

[adam]

McGavick is a lamb that has been sacrificed to fill ballot space against a very popular Democratic incumbent in a Democratic state. Most of the narrowing polls are just pre-election anti-incumbent agnst that a lot of popular incumbents endure. In the end, the Democratic base will put Cantwell way over the top against her very lousy opponent. Predicition:

Maria Cantwell: 53.6%
Mike McGavick: 44.1%
Aaron Dixon: 2.3%

[adam]

But Perry and Lieberman are going down, right?

Both are possible.

[adam]

But Perry and Lieberman are going down, right?

Both are possible.

It's ridiculous to say that an incumbent you like will GAIN votes because she's an incumbent, but at the same time claim that incumbents you dislike will LOSE votes for no particular reason. Perry for instance is way ahead of Cantwell. Lieberman probably is too.

Cantwell is far more popular than Perry and is only dealing with one serious challeneger while Perry is dealing with three (two of which attract conservative attention). Besides, there are many reasons why Perry can and will lose votes...If you have heard of the Trans-Texas Corridor, you will know what I mean.

Lieberman on the other hand has become an imbecile...but I doubt he'll lose. Lamont just isnt a strong enough campaigner as lastest polls have proven. I really have no clue about this race, it's an odd one.