McGavick is a lamb that has been sacrificed to fill ballot space against a very popular Democratic incumbent in a Democratic state. Most of the narrowing polls are just pre-election anti-incumbent agnst that a lot of popular incumbents endure. In the end, the Democratic base will put Cantwell way over the top against her very lousy opponent. Predicition:
Maria Cantwell: 53.6%
Mike McGavick: 44.1%
Aaron Dixon: 2.3%
WOW. I guess the Washington punditocracy was completely wrong about McGavick. Seriously, Cantwell shouldn't have won in 2000 and is lucky that her strong opponent made a mistake with the DUI issue. Without the kerfuffle over the DUI, McGavick could've been within 3-4 points of Cantwell.
