AZ-Sen Tied Behavior Research Center

[swf541]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/RMP_AZ_Senate_April_2016.pdf

42% Kirkpatrick
42% McCain


42% each for McCain and Kirkpatrick, the breakdown of support looks odd to me, but I know little on Arizona voting patterns by demographic (Has McCain winning Latino's but losing the older vote and rural vote if I read it right)

[Vosem]

BRC has consistently shown a Democratic house effect in 2012 and 2014. This poll is decent news for McCain.

[swf541]

BRC has consistently shown a Democratic house effect in 2012 and 2014. This poll is decent news for McCain.

I'd agree but being tied as an incumbent is never "good" news, its not terrible news though

[MT Treasurer]

This Senate race is the ultimate fool's gold for Democrats. McCain isn't going to lose, period.

[Xing]

It's early, but if the nominee is Trump, McCain should prepare himself for a hard-fought race.

[Ebsy]

Somehow McCain is getting 50% of Hispanic voters in this poll and is still tied?

Okay, looking at the crosstabs, this poll is total junk.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Great news defeating Portman and McCain will be is splendid

[Kingpoleon]

Great news defeating Portman and McCain will be is splendid

Eliminating moderates obviously helps your midterms, when the other party's base sweeps the general and stops all compromising. "Where are the moderates?!?" The incumbent President's people say. Where are they? You severely hurt your last two years of your term by helping your first two slightly.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Strickland will win due to his support in Black community despite his gun record like Bob Casey. McCain stop compromising as soon as McConnell became Leader.

[Xing]

Great news defeating Portman and McCain will be is splendid

Eliminating moderates obviously helps your midterms, when the other party's base sweeps the general and stops all compromising. "Where are the moderates?!?" The incumbent President's people say. Where are they? You severely hurt your last two years of your term by helping your first two slightly.

Well, it's not like Republicans care about moderates either, after cheering Begich, Hagan, Pryor, and Landrieu being booted out in 2014.

[IceSpear]

Great news defeating Portman and McCain will be is splendid

Eliminating moderates obviously helps your midterms, when the other party's base sweeps the general and stops all compromising. "Where are the moderates?!?" The incumbent President's people say. Where are they? You severely hurt your last two years of your term by helping your first two slightly.

Well, it's not like Republicans care about moderates either, after cheering Begich, Hagan, Pryor, and Landrieu being booted out in 2014.

Hagen is ultra liberal.

[Heisenberg]

Well, it's not like Republicans care about moderates either, after cheering Begich, Hagan, Pryor, and Landrieu being booted out in 2014.

None of those are moderates, except maybe Pryor. Or do you consider Toomey, Johnson, Burr and Lee moderates as well?

👍 Just because a senator represents a swing state (or a state that frequently votes for the opposite party) does not make him/her a moderate.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Well, it's not like Republicans care about moderates either, after cheering Begich, Hagan, Pryor, and Landrieu being booted out in 2014.

None of those are moderates, except maybe Pryor. Or do you consider Toomey, Johnson, Burr and Lee moderates as well?

👍 Just because a senator represents a swing state (or a state that frequently votes for the opposite party) does not make him/her a moderate.

And, on the other hand, I can think of a certain deeply Republican state that has two very moderate Republican Senators...

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Well, it's not like Republicans care about moderates either, after cheering Begich, Hagan, Pryor, and Landrieu being booted out in 2014.

None of those are moderates, except maybe Pryor. Or do you consider Toomey, Johnson, Burr and Lee moderates as well?

👍 Just because a senator represents a swing state (or a state that frequently votes for the opposite party) does not make him/her a moderate.

And, on the other hand, I can think of a certain deeply Republican state that has two very moderate Republican Senators...

Obvious shill for your own state......

[Kingpoleon]

Great news defeating Portman and McCain will be is splendid

Eliminating moderates obviously helps your midterms, when the other party's base sweeps the general and stops all compromising. "Where are the moderates?!?" The incumbent President's people say. Where are they? You severely hurt your last two years of your term by helping your first two slightly.

Well, it's not like Republicans care about moderates either, after cheering Begich, Hagan, Pryor, and Landrieu being booted out in 2014.

At least that wasn't in a Presidential year. Pryor was a corrupt person, and Hagan was pretty liberal, especially for being from NC. Landrieu was pretty moderate, while Begich was more of a McCain maverick. I guess I can say those two were pretty bad losses for moderates.

[This account no longer in use.]

Well, it's not like Republicans care about moderates either, after cheering Begich, Hagan, Pryor, and Landrieu being booted out in 2014.

None of those are moderates, except maybe Pryor. Or do you consider Toomey, Johnson, Burr and Lee moderates as well?

👍 Just because a senator represents a swing state (or a state that frequently votes for the opposite party) does not make him/her a moderate.

And, on the other hand, I can think of a certain deeply Republican state that has two very moderate Republican Senators...

Eh. We sort of have the opposite problem. Massachusetts is certainly liberal, but it isn't as liberal as Elizabeth Warren and Ed Markey would make you believe.

[ElectionsGuy]

People can keep saying whatever they want, this will be a competitive race and probably McCain's last one.

[Ebsy]

Green avatars couldn't recognize a moderate if it stared out at them through a mirror.