A minus at 538.
Love those red avatars shouting 'JUNK' whenever a poll result doesn't fit their narrative.
Still, Clinton had some great polls today to counterbalance this one.
IBD does this crap every election. A month or so before the election they release a poll that's a wild outlier to get attention (OBAMA AND MCCAIN TIED!!!) and then a few days before they release a second one that's in line with what all the other pollsters show.
Hence their high rating.
Now why would they do that? And you are cherrypicking data. In 2008:
11/1 - 11/3 Obama +8
10/22 - 10/26 Obama +3
10/18 - 10/22 Obama +1
10/14 - 10/18 Obama +5
10/7 - 10/13 Obama +3
9/2 - 9/7 Obama +5
8/4 - 8/9 Obama +5
7/7 - 7/11 Obama +3
6/2 - 6/8 Obama +3
5/12 - 5/18 Obama +11
1/2 - 1/4 McCain +12
So, since the start of the actual campaign they had Obama in the lead all the time, only the margin varied. They never had a tie.
Thats not to say they couldnt be wrong now, but they do have a pretty good record.
