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Author Topic: DRA stuff  (Read 34054 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« on: October 15, 2017, 01:23:17 PM »

Myself and some guys at 538 are working to get 2012/2016 data on the App in every state.
Thank you very much for taking your time to accomplish this, and can you please give an estimate date on when this will be finished?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2017, 10:23:32 PM »

An ungerrymandered Oregon legislative district map really should not give Republicans that good of a chance to take a majority.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2017, 12:08:42 PM »



Population difference of 1452.

Blue: D+0.72
Red: R+0.7

All the counties are left intact except Sullivan County which I split to make population more even.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #3 on: November 22, 2017, 03:40:10 PM »

PVI data is available for Iowa.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #4 on: November 23, 2017, 09:04:07 PM »



Maine with 2 districts of similar PVI.

Blue: D+1.22
Red: D+3.74

Only Cumberland County is split.

Population difference of 667 people.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #5 on: November 23, 2017, 10:33:13 PM »



I took the Daily Kos map and changed the 2 Eastern District Borders to put all of the Cedar Rapids Metro Area in a single District.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #6 on: November 24, 2017, 04:26:29 PM »
« Edited: November 24, 2017, 04:42:45 PM by Solid4096 »

No Counties Split; Max Deviation 1000; West Iowa Intact; Des Moines Metro Intact; Iowa Districts



Blue: D+1.7
Green: R+14.36
Red: D+4.46
Yellow: R+3.02

I could have made the Red and Yellow Districts much neater looking by splitting even a single County.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #7 on: December 03, 2017, 12:53:40 PM »



PVI:

Blue: D+1.93
Green: D+3.88
Red: D+22.98
Yellow: D+31.18
Magenta: R+2
Cyan: R+5.49
Dark Blue: D+16.94
Dark Red: D+7.2
Dark Green: R+7.32
Gray: R+3.53
Black: D+12.18
White: D+0.82
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #8 on: December 11, 2017, 09:57:31 PM »


I was just checking this today, and then saw your post. Since this map was created, NY, FL, and IL have had data added to then. CA at the time of this maps creation only had 12/16 data for it's useless voting districts data (the version with 200,000 pop tracts that is not used by anyone but the census) and now has 12/16 data for the block groups (the one with 2008 data, and with actual precincts).

It is quite possible we never get the at-large states, or get them all last, since the congressional PVIs are the same in their cases as the well known state PVIs.

Ugh, I hope all the states get data.  Sometimes, it is fun to mess around with seeing what would happen if states had more seats than they actually did.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #9 on: December 12, 2017, 06:34:59 PM »
« Edited: December 12, 2017, 06:37:22 PM by Solid4096 »



PVI:

Blue: D+17.67
Green: D+1.47
Red: R+7.04
Yellow: R+16.74
Magenta: D+14.8
Cyan: D+3.41
Black: R+5.66
White: R+7.11

fair Wisconsin Districts 4-4.

Only 5 Counties split.

1162 population difference between most and least populated districts.

Red District has absolutely no split Counties.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #10 on: December 13, 2017, 10:23:01 PM »

I was peeking around in the deep South just now due to Jones's victory and what districts could be drawn, and I saw Louisiana had PVI. This sent me to the other states missing data, and I can confirm that CT, LA, and TX now have PVI. This means that Michigan is the last multi-district state without 12/16 PVI data. One would think that this spot would be California's be default, but no - it is Michigan's.

Pennsylvania data is incomplete.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #11 on: December 17, 2017, 08:15:05 PM »



An Iowa plan using 2020 population estimates, and minimal County movement.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #12 on: December 17, 2017, 08:45:04 PM »

Still none of the single district states Sad

Makes me worried that there are no plans for those.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #13 on: December 17, 2017, 09:43:20 PM »
« Edited: December 17, 2017, 10:09:32 PM by Solid4096 »



An Iowa plan using 2020 population estimates, and minimal County movement.

County Swaps:



Current PVI of Redrawn Districts:

1: D+1.03
2: D+0.28
3: R+1.88
4: R+10.09

PVI of Current Districts:

1: D+0.97
2: D+0.68
3: R+1.39
4: R+10.85
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #14 on: December 18, 2017, 09:43:40 PM »
« Edited: December 18, 2017, 10:19:09 PM by Solid4096 »



A West Virginia plan using 2020 population estimates, considering that the state is likely to lose a District.

Current PVI of Redrawn Districts:

1: R+19.18
2: R+19.75
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #15 on: December 21, 2017, 02:37:57 PM »

When will the new estimates for 2020 population replace the old estimates?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #16 on: December 24, 2017, 07:55:13 AM »


any 1 district states yet?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #17 on: January 06, 2018, 01:49:14 PM »

is there any quick tool to convert the drf files into svg files?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #18 on: January 07, 2018, 10:01:53 AM »
« Edited: January 07, 2018, 10:11:03 AM by Solid4096 »



Theoretical 3D-2R IA Gerrymander + no Counties split.

The Cyan District was extremely close in 2008; McCain edges out Obama by 80 votes.

Red, Green, and Blue have Dem PVI.

Cyan and Magenta have Rep PVI.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #19 on: January 07, 2018, 01:51:34 PM »



I managed to get the population deviations lower.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #20 on: January 10, 2018, 09:31:10 PM »

Not my map, but this map is perfect:

Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #21 on: January 10, 2018, 09:47:07 PM »

Not my map, but this map is perfect:


What are the PVIs for each district? Is it a solid Dem gerrymander?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #22 on: February 14, 2018, 04:44:42 PM »



District 01: D+00.61
District 02: D+00.72
District 03: D+00.99

District 04: R+13.37

03 Dem
01 Rep
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #23 on: February 14, 2018, 07:33:40 PM »



Just for fun, I decided to take LimoLiberals gerrymander, and gerrymander it up even more.

Population difference of 79.

District 1: D+3.42
District 2: D+2.95
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #24 on: February 14, 2018, 08:01:38 PM »

DRA does not work on Firefox.
DRA does not work on Chrome.
DRA does not work on Edge.
DRA only works on Explorer.
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