NH-WMUR/UNH: Romney 40% Giuliani 10% Pawlenty 7% Huck 7% Gingrich 6% Palin 6% (user search)
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  NH-WMUR/UNH: Romney 40% Giuliani 10% Pawlenty 7% Huck 7% Gingrich 6% Palin 6% (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH-WMUR/UNH: Romney 40% Giuliani 10% Pawlenty 7% Huck 7% Gingrich 6% Palin 6%  (Read 902 times)
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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« on: February 14, 2011, 08:07:09 PM »

Uni poll but it confirms what we know already. At this point Romney is the strongest candidate for NH, though I doubt he actually beats Obama at this point.

I have long said that had Rudy not adopted his Florida only strategy, and stayed in NH (where he had surged to within 1 point of Romney in early fall I think), he would have prevented McCain's last minute surge and gave Romney the NH victory. 
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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Posts: 54,118
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« Reply #1 on: February 14, 2011, 10:45:48 PM »

I think this is bad for Romney. If he only wins NH by 10 points people are going to wonder why he didn't win by more.

Are you talking about the primary or the general. This poll has him up by 30 in the primary and thus its hard to say this is bad sign unless you think the poll is wrong in which case your phrasing makes no sense because then it couldn't be a bad sign because the sign itself is wrong.


If you are talking the general election, if Romney is winning by 10 in NH, Obama is so unbeleivably screwed nationwide.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
Moderators
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 54,118
United States


« Reply #2 on: February 14, 2011, 10:57:37 PM »

I think this is bad for Romney. If he only wins NH by 10 points people are going to wonder why he didn't win by more.

Are you talking about the primary or the general. This poll has him up by 30 in the primary and thus its hard to say this is bad sign unless you think the poll is wrong in which case your phrasing makes no sense because then it couldn't be a bad sign because the sign itself is wrong.


If you are talking the general election, if Romney is winning by 10 in NH, Obama is so unbeleivably screwed nationwide.

The primary.  What I mean is if I'm Romney I'm worried about the expectation game getting out of hand.

Yes, that is a big concern, even more so if he is the only one who contests it.
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