As the Election Day approaches and Biden victory becomes more and more likely, voters who dislike Trump will start to fear a Democratic trifecta. I believe they will break for Collins so that she could be a check on Biden. After all, she has track record of being a moderate and independent thinking and not following the party line.
Lol, she voted for the Trump tax plan and Kavanough. She only votes against Republican leadership when she is allowed to because they already have the votes. Republicans have her vote unless she isn’t needed.
If Collins was so independent and such a “moderate hero”, she would be actively working right now to stop ACB’s confirmation.
I am talking about the voters who are concerned about a possible Democratic dominance of the Congress and the Executive. Their natural choice to prevent that from happening is Collins.
Once again, the vast majority of voters think that Trump will win. I seriously doubt that this will affect that many voters, especially in Maine.
It will depend on whether Trump wins ME-02 and on Lisa Savage's performance. In effect she still has time to take progressive votes from Gideon. Savage supports Medicare for All, Gideon doesn't. If Savage can do so well, she can hand victory to Collins.