ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet (user search)
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  ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet  (Read 77733 times)
Torrain
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,177
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

« on: October 16, 2020, 03:52:59 PM »


We can joke about this, but I really don't see how any vote on ACB helps Collins:

Yea: she angers Dem/Indy voters who bought her pro-choice Republican schtick
No: she angers loyal Trump voters in the state, blowing up her coalition
Present: she angers literally everyone for sitting on the fence
*skips the vote*: she breaks her perfect voting streak and Gideon hammers her on 'not showing up to represent Maine'.

To the best of my knowledge, ACB is probably good for Graham, but awful for Gardner and Collins. It's like a reverse Heitkamp-Kavanaugh vote, there's just no vote that doesn't seem to make re-election harder.
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Torrain
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,177
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2020, 04:53:34 PM »


We can joke about this, but I really don't see how any vote on ACB helps Collins:

Yea: she angers Dem/Indy voters who bought her pro-choice Republican schtick
No: she angers loyal Trump voters in the state, blowing up her coalition
Present: she angers literally everyone for sitting on the fence
*skips the vote*: she breaks her perfect voting streak and Gideon hammers her on 'not showing up to represent Maine'.

To the best of my knowledge, ACB is probably good for Graham, but awful for Gardner and Collins. It's like a reverse Heitkamp-Kavanaugh vote, there's just no vote that doesn't seem to make re-election harder.

Voting NO will help Collins and hurt Jones.
Voting YES will help Graham, Tillis, Ernst, Danes and Perdue.
I don't think there is anything that can help Gardner and McSally.


Maybe with Independents. Show me one GOP voter who'll be more likely to vote for her if she votes no. She needs really good GOP turnout to win this election. She can still get that, but it'll be a heck of a lot harder if Trump spends the next fortnight attacking her.
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