Who won these random demographics? (user search)
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  Who won these random demographics? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Who won these random demographics?  (Read 4818 times)
Pollster
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« on: July 02, 2017, 06:17:26 PM »

Out of sheer curiosity, I've put a poll in the field testing some of the demographics brought up in this thread. I'll share results when I have sufficient data.
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Pollster
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« Reply #1 on: July 15, 2017, 04:40:58 PM »

My poll finished on Tuesday but I didn't have time to run the analysis until this morning. I used Amazon's MTurk to gather the sample, and out of roughly 640 responses, 503 were usable for a MOE of 4.3%. I'll post full results later but here are some key takeaways:

-10% of the electorate reported being a frequent marijuana user. These voters went 48-44 for Clinton, (my estimation is that this result is distorted by the reduced sample size which carries a higher MOE and that Clinton probably won at the least a majority of this demo).
Non-frequent users (90% of the electorate) went 48-46 for Clinton, unsurprisingly no change from the national average.

-16% of the electorate identifies as Pitbull fans, versus 62% who say they are not, while 22% have never heard of the singer.
Pitbull fans went for Clinton 48-47, non-fans went for Clinton 50-44. Voters who have never heard of the artist went for Trump 51-43.

-24% of voters are Nickelback fans, and these voters sided with Trump 64-29.
59% of voters are not Nickelback fans, and these voters sided with Clinton 51-43.
The 18% of voters who have never heard of Nickelback voted Clinton 65-33.

-Star Wars is not nearly as divisive as politics, with voters saying they are fans of the franchise 58-42.
Star Wars fans went for Trump 48-46. Non-fans went for Clinton 51-43.

-Harry Potter is much more divisive than Star Wars, with voters being fans of the franchise by only a 52.5-47.5 margin.
The fans/non-fans are just as divided politically. HP fans went for Clinton 50-46, non-fans went for Trump 47-46.

-Among the 15% of the electorate that identifies as a frequent gambler, Trump won 57-39. Clinton won non-frequent gamblers 50-45.

-The Starbucks vs. Dunkin Donuts war has bled into politics. Starbucks drinkers backed Clinton 54-42, while Dunkin-goers backed Trump 56-40. Voters who make their coffee at home backed Trump 49-46, but voters who don't drink coffee altogether supported Clinton 51-43.

-Virtually 1 in 4 (27%) of voters visit the gym or some other athletic facility regularly, and they backed Trump 53-42. Non-gym goers backed Clinton 50-43.

-Single parents backed Clinton 57-43. Voters who are not single parents split evenly 47-47.

-Voters who are currently in a romantic relationship in which the age difference is 10+ years backed Trump 52-39. Voters who were formerly in a romantic relationship in which the age difference is 10+ years backed Trump 55-41. This is essentially the same margin and I'd love to hear what you all might think of this if anything.

-One of the sharpest divides this poll finds is in shopping habits. Voters who shop more frequently at Target supported Clinton 60-35, while Walmarters went 52-43 for Trump. Voters who shop at neither store went for Clinton 51-43, but this was a very small subsample.

-Not many voters are tobacco smokers (or at least admitted tobacco smokers) which is surprising considering the number of tobacco smokers in the country, but those voters who are also tobacco smokers backed Trump 54-36. Non-smokers backed Clinton 50-45.

-Only a small number of voters reported being frequent hunters, but this demo unsurprisingly backed Trump 86-14.

-Similarly, only a small number of voters reported being vegetarians, but this demo went for Clinton 50-40. A statistically insignificant and unusable number of respondents reported being vegans (fwiw this small sample of vegans split an even 50-50 for Trump and Clinton).

-Only 18.5% of voters reported being regular viewers of The Simpsons, and the dying fan base for the iconic animated sitcom is bad news for Democrats, since Simpsons loyalists backed Clinton 56-39.

-A statistically insignificant and unusable number of respondents reported having being contestants on a reality or competition TV show, but this subsample went 67-33 for the former reality star.

-Voters who have called elected officials about a political issue went for Clinton 56-41, while voters who have not done so went for Trump 49-44. A caveat to this result is that the question did not specify when the calls were made, so voters may have hypothetically answered yes if they made a call after the election was over.

-I threw in a question about what the most important quality you look for in a romantic partner is, and the results were interesting:
In an election where both candidates were portrayed as dishonest and/or corrupt, voters who most value honesty went for Clinton 53-45.
Physical attraction is nonpartisan, as voters who most value good looks/good body split 47-47.
Voters who look most for a partner that makes them laugh went for Trump 57-36.
Voters looking for a good personality went for Clinton 51-41.
Voters looking for somebody supportive went for Trump 54-40.
Voters looking for a partner who performs well sexually overwhelmingly backed Trump 71-29.
Most interesting to me is that voters looking for somebody who "Is Intellectually Stimulating" went for Clinton 53-30, with Gary Johnson taking 13% of this demo.

Full results will be up when I get the chance.
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