Bulgarian election maps

[big bad fab]

Thanks.
I was just referring to provinces.

Interesting reasons. And, as always, perennial causes of political picks.

Not exactly on the same subject, but do you know if there were polls, between 1989 and 1991 on becoming member of the USSR (), or, a bit more seriously, on entering the CIS ?

In the late 1970s, during the climax of Brejnev-Jivkov zastoi, there were plans for Bulgarai beconming the 16th soviet socialist republic.

[GMantis]

Thanks.
I was just referring to provinces.

Interesting reasons. And, as always, perennial causes of political picks.

Not exactly on the same subject, but do you know if there were polls, between 1989 and 1991 on becoming member of the USSR (), or, a bit more seriously, on entering the CIS ?

In the late 1970s, during the climax of Brejnev-Jivkov zastoi, there were plans for Bulgarai beconming the 16th soviet socialist republic.

About provinces - Varna and Plovdiv a bigger proportion of the population of their provinces than Burgas.
As far as I know, there were no such polls. There was no such proposal even among the most extremist left and it would have enjoined no popular support whatsoever. Bulgaria is pro-Russian, but certainly nоt that much.
The plan you reffer to occurred not in the 70s, but in the 60s. And it wasn't really a plan. Zhivkov said in one of his speeches before the Politburo that Bulgaria should move much closer to the USSR and eventually unify with it. But no concrete steps were taken to actually join Bulgaria with the USSR. In any case, that was impossible - not just because it would be disastrous for the far more prosperous Bulgaria to join the USSR, but their leaders would have handed the West such an enormous propaganda victory. It's more that this was just a bluff to endear Zhivkov to Brezhnev and in this way win more concessions from the USSR. And it evidently worked, considering all the trade benefits the USSR gave to Bulgaria.

[GMantis]

1991 Parliamentary elections:



The map key is the same as in previous elections.
This was the second democratic parliamentary election in Bulgaria after 1930. The first election was the election for the Grand National Assembly in 1990, but I have no detailed information for it.
The election was nearly drawn, with the UDF winning only narrowly after a three way split. Only three parties entered parliament after the election, leaving 25% of voters unrepresented.

[big bad fab]

Thanks.
I was just referring to provinces.

Interesting reasons. And, as always, perennial causes of political picks.

Not exactly on the same subject, but do you know if there were polls, between 1989 and 1991 on becoming member of the USSR (), or, a bit more seriously, on entering the CIS ?

In the late 1970s, during the climax of Brejnev-Jivkov zastoi, there were plans for Bulgarai beconming the 16th soviet socialist republic.

About provinces - Varna and Plovdiv a bigger proportion of the population of their provinces than Burgas.
As far as I know, there were no such polls. There was no such proposal even among the most extremist left and it would have enjoined no popular support whatsoever. Bulgaria is pro-Russian, but certainly nоt that much.
The plan you reffer to occurred not in the 70s, but in the 60s. And it wasn't really a plan. Zhivkov said in one of his speeches before the Politburo that Bulgaria should move much closer to the USSR and eventually unify with it. But no concrete steps were taken to actually join Bulgaria with the USSR. In any case, that was impossible - not just because it would be disastrous for the far more prosperous Bulgaria to join the USSR, but their leaders would have handed the West such an enormous propaganda victory. It's more that this was just a bluff to endear Zhivkov to Brezhnev and in this way win more concessions from the USSR. And it evidently worked, considering all the trade benefits the USSR gave to Bulgaria.

Yeah, my question was a bit weird, but as I see you are a specialist and as, sometimes, politics is weird in Bulgaria (nearly as much as in the French socialist party ! see the thread on this subject), I dared to ask it.

Sorry for my French transcriptions Jivkov and Brejnev for Zhivkov and Brezhnev.

[GMantis]

The Presidential election 1992-2006.
Unfortunately, I don't have munipicial information but on the other hand it does make map making easier.
More information about the elections:
1992
1996
2001
2006
Red stands for the BSP candidates: Velko Ivanov in 1992, Ivan Marazov in 1996 and Georgi Parvanov in 2001 and 2006. Blue stands for the UDF (SDS) candidates: Zhelyu Zhelev in 1992 and Petar Stoyanov in 1996 and 2001. It should be noted that both Stoyanov and Parvanov ran as formally independent in their reelection bids. Green stands for Reneta Indzhova, a candidate of the Democratic Alliance and former caretaker Prime Minister

1992 Presidential election, First Round


1992 Presidential election, Second Round


1996 Presidential election, First Round


1996 Presidential election, Second Round


2001 Presidential election, First Round


2001 Presidential election, Second Round


2006 Presidential election, First Round


2006 Presidential election, Second Round


Now, can you guess which candidate the MRF endorsed in each of the 8 elections?

[minionofmidas]

I think I can confidently predict 7 (92: Zhelev, 96 Stoyanov, 01 Indzhova in the first round, 06 Parvanov.)
The 01 runoff looks odd though - did they endorse Parvanov or just not make an endorsement?

[GMantis]

I think I can confidently predict 7 (92: Zhelev, 96 Stoyanov, 01 Indzhova in the first round, 06 Parvanov.)
The 01 runoff looks odd though - did they endorse Parvanov or just not make an endorsement?

They endorsed Parvanov - you can see that the most Turkish provinces broke 60%.
This was a great surprise at the time and it's argued by some to have won Parvanov the election. I disagree - most MRF voters stayed home. If the MRF hadn't issued an endorsment, he would have won. Now, if they had endorsed Stoyanov - it would probably have been very close.

[minionofmidas]

They endorsed Parvanov - you can see that the most Turkish provinces broke 60%.

Yes... which doesn't exactly make them stick out.

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Which would explain things. I suppose they had a long-standing alliance with the right until then, not just for presidential elections?

[GMantis]

They endorsed Parvanov - you can see that the most Turkish provinces broke 60%.

Yes... which doesn't exactly make them stick out.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Which would explain things. I suppose they had a long-standing alliance with the right until then, not just for presidential elections?

Not really. They were allied with the UDF between 1990 and 1992, then neutral but supporting a government together with the BSP until 1994, then allied with the UDF until 1997-1998., then neutral, then after the 2001 election allies with the NMSS. But is was still surprising that they should support a BSP candidate - especially after the NMSS endorsed Stoyanov. In retrospect, it's not that surprising - it simply showed that the MRF was completely unprincipled in matters of policy and political allies, interested only in power. This became obvious in 2005 when they ditched the NMSS and joined their polar opposite, BSP, just to stay in power.
Sorry if this is confusing

[GMantis]

A map of Bulgaria by population (2001 census figures):

It uses the Atlas key.

[Hash]

Could we get a map of Volen Siderov in 2006?

[GMantis]

Could we get a map of Volen Siderov in 2006?

What kind of map?

[minionofmidas]

Could we get a map of Volen Siderov in 2006?

2006 Presidential election, Second Round

Or did you mean in the first round?

What's with those light-colored provinces btw? They never stuck out on earlier maps...

[Hash]

Could we get a map of Volen Siderov in 2006?

What kind of map?

% vote. Second round or first round, I don't really care.

[minionofmidas]

Could we get a map of Volen Siderov in 2006?

What kind of map?

% vote. Second round or first round, I don't really care.

Second round is, effectively, up already.

[GMantis]

Second round is, effectively, up already.

Yes, thankfully Bulgaria doesn't allow "Against all" votes. Nevertheless, I've made both maps:



The map use the Atlas key, but after >10% it switches to 5% increments - >20% means >15%, >30% means >20% and so on.

[GMantis]

A map of provinces by percentage of Bulgarian population, to compare with Volen Siderov's results:

[minionofmidas]

What's with those light-colored provinces btw? They never stuck out on earlier maps...

[GMantis]

What's with those light-colored provinces btw? They never stuck out on earlier maps...

Well, this obviously are Siderov's best provinces. He got over 30% in both of them. They are different from previous maps, because Siderov and his party are not rightists like the UDF, NDSV and GERB are. These parties generally derive their support from more prosperous, big city, educated voters. Siderov's economic policy is very leftist and appeals to those most hard hit by the economic transition, who are dissapointed with all parties. Another source of support are Bulgarians living in areas with large minority populations, but the Bulgarian population of those areas is too small for him to gain large percentages of the overall vote (especially as Turks supported Parvanov very heavily, disproportional to their numbers). The two provinces decribed have both a low enough minority population and a high enough proportion of Siderov supporters (often called small town people, because they are most strongly concentrated there) for him to achieve high percentages.

[GMantis]

Not an election map, but seems interesting:

[GMantis]

Nice to see that my map making talents are appreciated:
http://www.electoralgeography.com/new/en/countries/b/bulgaria/2007-european-elections-bulgaria.html
http://www.electoralgeography.com/new/en/countries/b/bulgaria/2005-parliament-elections-bulgaria.html

[MaxQue]

Nice to see that my map making talents are appreciated:
http://www.electoralgeography.com/new/en/countries/b/bulgaria/2007-european-elections-bulgaria.html
http://www.electoralgeography.com/new/en/countries/b/bulgaria/2005-parliament-elections-bulgaria.html

If I remember well, Hashemite is or was related to this website.

[GMantis]

Nice to see that my map making talents are appreciated:
http://www.electoralgeography.com/new/en/countries/b/bulgaria/2007-european-elections-bulgaria.html
http://www.electoralgeography.com/new/en/countries/b/bulgaria/2005-parliament-elections-bulgaria.html

If I remember well, Hashemite is or was related to this website.

Is this him?
http://www.electoralgeography.com/new/en/about
(First picture from below).

[MaxQue]

Nice to see that my map making talents are appreciated:
http://www.electoralgeography.com/new/en/countries/b/bulgaria/2007-european-elections-bulgaria.html
http://www.electoralgeography.com/new/en/countries/b/bulgaria/2005-parliament-elections-bulgaria.html

If I remember well, Hashemite is or was related to this website.

Is this him?
http://www.electoralgeography.com/new/en/about
(First picture from below).

Yes.

[GMantis]

I've finally managed to make a more detailed map of the 2009 parliamentary elections, so I hope I'll be excused for reopening the thread after four years. As the deputies were elected by two systems, there are two maps.

First are results for the proportional vote, which elected 209 deputies on a nationwide basis:


And these are the results for 31 deputies elected in single member districts (the same as the 31 multi member districts) on a First-past-the-post basis: