Canada with Australian Parties (user search)
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Author Topic: Canada with Australian Parties  (Read 2664 times)
Smid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,151
Australia


« on: July 06, 2012, 08:05:52 PM »

Welcome to the Forum Calgary Manifesto!

What would you like to know?

I'm Aussie, but my where's Albertan, so I know a little of the politics of both nations.
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Smid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,151
Australia


« Reply #1 on: July 08, 2012, 07:40:23 PM »
« Edited: July 08, 2012, 09:56:24 PM by Smid »

Thanks for the warm welcome. I've had a bunch of blog traffic come from this site, so I thought I'd take a look. I'm from western Canada, and I've done a fair amount of work on electoral geography.

I have poll by poll results/maps for Canada, and can match (roughly) results to my data set. It'd be a rough estimation, but it might be interesting to see. Is data available at the poll level for Australia?

Oh good! What's your blog? (You won't have enough enough posts yet to put it as a link, but if you put spaces after the dots or something...).

We have a few threads that may interest you...

Here is the 2008 poll-by-poll maps for much of Canada.
Here are demographic maps of Canada - some are provincial riding, some are federal riding, some are Census division, etc.
Here is the website of one of the posters from here, who has been a bit silent of late (he did those 2008 poll maps from the earlier link). That link is for his 2011 poll-by-poll maps across Canada.
Here is an "Australian" demographic maps thread, but it's really just maps from the state of Victoria, based on state electorate boundaries, because I didn't get any further than that. It's based off the 2006 Census, but the 2011 results are out now, so I think I'll start a new thread and do a new round of maps, based off that.

Those links (other than the 506's link) are all listed in the "Special Threads" stickied thread on the International Elections board, just down from here. I've uploaded a swag of blank Canadian election maps to the gallery - feel free to use them as you see fit for your blog, if you like them. With the exception of the Northern Territory, Australian one I uploaded last week, they're all visible for perusal in this thread. I'm part way through a New Brunswick provincial boundaries map, but it's incomplete. I'll start on a federal one once the redistribution has been completed - if you haven't seen it already, here is our discussion on the progression of the redistribution. Definitely take the time to check out Earl's blog - he has a link in some of his posts. He's a dipper, but quite unbiased in his electoral analysis.

Australia does have poll-level data available, but in an imprecise manner. Whereas in Canada you vote at your polling station, and each poll only records a few hundred votes, in Australia you can vote at any polling booth in your electorate, and booths near the boundary might be joint booths with the adjoining electorate. Most people will still vote at the nearest booth to them, however if you're off on a camping trip or something, or if you're working that day, you might vote at a booth you pass on the way out of town, or duck out on your lunchbreak, so it's a little less precise - and there are certainly no clearly defined boundaries for booths, so you can't map them quite the way you can in Canada. Our metropolitan booths are considerably larger than your polls, too - more likely to have a few thousand votes cast there, than a few hundred - which further decreases their effectiveness. There are some good sites that show booth locations and numbers, but it's still less precise. This website probably provides the best examples.

EDIT: To actually include a link to Earl's Blog.
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Smid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,151
Australia


« Reply #2 on: July 08, 2012, 10:00:26 PM »

Thanks for the warm welcome. I've had a bunch of blog traffic come from this site, so I thought I'd take a look. I'm from western Canada, and I've done a fair amount of work on electoral geography.

I have poll by poll results/maps for Canada, and can match (roughly) results to my data set. It'd be a rough estimation, but it might be interesting to see. Is data available at the poll level for Australia?

Oh, you must be the Calgary Election Atlas guy. Welcome to the forum, I like your blog Smiley

Some very impressive Alberta 2012 poll maps of Edmonton there!
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Smid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,151
Australia


« Reply #3 on: July 09, 2012, 07:44:10 PM »

Any chance there is demographic data available from the Australian national census? If we have that, we can identify the demographic relationships with certain parties, and just use 2006 Canadian census data to extrapolate the results. As the poll data is different for Australia, we might have to run it at the riding level, but it is still doable. It'd just be a question of building proper models to account for regional eccentricities. I've been meaning to learn about Australian politics, so I'm quite excited for the chance Tongue


Funny you should ask - I had an email about the further release of Census data today - in just under an hour, to be precise. I'll email you a link - the Australian Bureau of Statistics has a good table and mapping program allowing you to build a table of whatever topic interests you, and then map it (with a wide variety of types of locations - including state and federal electorates, or down to CCD - a Census Collection District, which is a few hundred households and the smallest statistical area recognised by the ABS - you can even map a single or several electorates by CCD, which ends up looking somewhat like your poll by poll maps).

I'll PM you the link.
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Smid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,151
Australia


« Reply #4 on: July 09, 2012, 08:35:46 PM »

The best place to get it is the Australian Bureau of Statistics Table Builder website. The professional version costs a bit, but the basic version is free (the basic version seems to lag behind in release times and a few other subtle differences, but is still perfectly useful from our "hobby" persepective).

I've asked Al to add it to the original post in the external links thread.

I have a few other resources that I've compiled (PDF reports and Excel spreadsheets) - I could probably email you a few of the more useful ones, Hashemite.

If you don't mind my asking Sharif, could you point me in the direction of the poll level data for France? That's another one that's been high on my list to track down

Here is a very impressive 2007 map.
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