FiveThirtyEight Demographic Calculator Revisited: Can you make Trump win?

[The Other Castro]

The sliders are pretty annoying and hard to control, but here's a link you can edit to get a map for exact percentages (% GOP, % Turnout). It also looks like around 2% is given to Other, so setting 48% GOP would give you a 50% Dem rate.

http://53eig.ht/21wa4Aw#CEW:0.557;0.772,NCEW:0.617;0.567,Black:0.057;0.662,Latino:0.267;0.48,A/O:0.307;0.491

[The Other Castro]

Whenever I try to get Trump over 270, the closest win comes from picking up FL, IA, OH, WI, and NH.

[The Other Castro]

Whenever I try to get Trump over 270, the closest win comes from picking up FL, IA, OH, WI, and NH.

No, you said it!!! TNVolunteer's spidey senses are tingling

I guess a Trump win is officially impossible then. This demographics tool would be much more accurate if it had an angry woman slider.

[The Other Castro]

I've been messing around with these to try and find the National PV thresholds at which certain states flip Dem or GOP. This obviously isn't completely accurate since it doesn't take into account the Mormon effect in Utah, and I may not have adjusted all demographic sliders at a completely even rate:

Michigan: 50% GOP
Colorado/Minnesota: 49.8% GOP
Virginia: 49.4% GOP
Pennsylvania: 49.2% Dem
Wisconsin: 49.3% Dem
Florida: 49.4% Dem
New Hampshire: 49.8% Dem
Iowa: 50.6% Dem
Ohio: 51.3% Dem
↓------------------------------- ↑ 2012 Map = Starting Point
North Carolina: 52.4% Dem
Arizona: 54.5% Dem
Georgia: 55.6% Dem
Texas: 55.7% Dem
Indiana: 57% Dem
Missouri: 57.1% Dem
Alaska: 57.3% Dem
South Carolina: 57.6% Dem
Mississippi: 57.8% Dem