Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1 (user search)
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  Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1  (Read 210073 times)
No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« on: November 06, 2018, 06:24:29 PM »
Lol @ early freaking out with less than 5% of the vote in.

Calm yourselves.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2018, 06:49:16 PM »
Why is NYTimes slower than CNN in reporting results?
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2018, 06:55:33 PM »
Quote from: Vox Populi on November 06, 2018, 06:54:13 PM
Quote from: (CT) The Free North on November 06, 2018, 06:51:39 PM
They're obviously not all in, but I still think the rural counties are looking good for Braun here.

Though to be fair, Roy Moore looked good in most of the rural counties. Jones racked up the margins in the urban areas and caused massive erosion in the suburbs

The paths to victory tonight won't be through the rural areas. They're too Trumpy.

I know it's sacrilegious to start talking about ReAlIgNmEnTs this early in the night, -- but could we be seeing Republican's sweep the rural areas, and Democrats making big gains in the Suburbs and Urban Areas?
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2018, 08:30:39 PM »
300+ out in Broward
200+ out in Miami-Dade
80+ out in Hilslborough

I still believe Gillum and Nelson pull it out!
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2018, 08:38:57 PM »
Right now I'm feeling:

House: Democrats + 30-35
Senate: Republicans + 2-3

Possible upset in Texas.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2018, 08:43:40 PM »
I think it's obvious this isn't a blue wave.

Unless there is a REAL realignment in urban areas.

But, we'll still win the house, - and I think that's a good thing.

Also, perhaps controversially, screw old people. ( :
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2018, 08:54:05 PM »
Well, it looks like a DECENT night in the Senate for Democrats ( I think they lose IN, MO, ND but GAIN AZ, NV and TX is still a Tossup ).

I think Dems take 30+ in the House, and gain quite a few Governors seats.

I'll take it.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #7 on: November 06, 2018, 08:57:44 PM »
Quote from: Democrats for Knute Buehler on November 06, 2018, 08:53:06 PM
That said, this bodes well for us Knute Buehlerites in Oregon.

Kate still pulls it off by 6+, trust me. ; )
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #8 on: November 06, 2018, 09:05:12 PM »
Damn, Florida is definitely confirmed HP state.

Texas  and the GLORIOUS WEST ( NV, AZ, OR ) may yet deliver us a victory.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #9 on: November 06, 2018, 09:34:04 PM »
I'd rather be a Democrat than a Republican tonight, period.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #10 on: November 06, 2018, 09:44:36 PM »
Quote from: slightlyburnttoast on November 06, 2018, 09:41:18 PM
Quote from: MillennialModerate on November 06, 2018, 09:37:00 PM
Quote from: iBizzBee on November 06, 2018, 09:34:04 PM
I'd rather be a Democrat than a Republican tonight, period.

Would love to hear the mental gymnastics on this one

Are you serious? You would rather be the party that retains one chamber rather than the party that takes a chamber and wins several governorships?

Exactly, the momentum is very clear tonight, -- rural areas will swing heavily towards the Republicans ( THUS, they will take and probably hold the Senate ) but Democrats will take the House ( thanks to strong Urban and Suburban margins ) with a CONFIDENT margin ( 30-35 ) and be able to investigate and expose the Trump administration. That was Trump's greatest fear tonight, - losing even a single branch of government, because now thanks to our amazing system with separation of power in government Trump and his administration will have nowhere to hide.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #11 on: November 06, 2018, 09:47:30 PM »
Does anyone else think Democratic money will pour into Mississippi in the event it's the deciding race and it will become quickly nationalized?
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #12 on: November 06, 2018, 09:56:02 PM »
The momentum is very clear tonight, -- rural areas will swing heavily towards the Republicans ( THUS, they will take and probably hold the Senate ) but Democrats will take the House ( thanks to strong Urban and Suburban margins ) with a CONFIDENT margin ( 30-35 ) and be able to investigate and expose the Trump administration. That was Trump's greatest fear tonight, - losing even a single branch of government, because now thanks to our amazing system with separation of power in government Trump and his administration will have nowhere to hide.

I'm very confident with tonights result. Disappointed with some results yes, but confident.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #13 on: November 06, 2018, 10:01:14 PM »

WoW.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #14 on: November 06, 2018, 10:04:11 PM »
I really need a bubble bath and some champagne. My Lord.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #15 on: November 06, 2018, 10:08:42 PM »
Queen Sharice WINS in KS-3. !!!.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #16 on: November 06, 2018, 10:12:01 PM »
The reason why I'm so confused tonight is because, despite earlier pessimism, this /IS/ a Democrative /WAVE/ tonight! But, only in certain parts of the country.

It's a confusing night.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #17 on: November 06, 2018, 10:15:19 PM »
Tonight basically comes down to #Polarization.

Rural Areas vs. Urban & Suburban Areas.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #18 on: November 06, 2018, 10:16:10 PM »
Quote from: John A. MacDonald on November 06, 2018, 10:15:07 PM
The NYT needle is projecting this as a D+9 wave. What the hell is going on?

Realignment.

The Urban areas of this country with the Suburbs vs. the Rural areas.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #19 on: November 06, 2018, 10:17:41 PM »
Spanberger and Luria WIN in VA.

Regardless of the results in the Senate and Governors races, - tonight is definitely a BLUE WAVE in the house, period.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #20 on: November 06, 2018, 10:20:04 PM »
Anyone who was predicting anything less than a blue wave in the House has been humiliated, period.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #21 on: November 06, 2018, 10:20:51 PM »
Quote from: RINO Tom on November 06, 2018, 10:19:33 PM
Quote from: iBizzBee on November 06, 2018, 10:15:19 PM
Tonight basically comes down to #Polarization.

Rural Areas vs. Urban & Suburban Areas.

We’re certainly seeing some interesting things tonight, but that is way too simplified.  If that were the case, Dems would be winning 70% of the vote, simple math...

The Suburban areas are still swing areas, make no mistake, but they're swinging Democratic 55-45 give or take.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #22 on: November 06, 2018, 10:28:37 PM »
If Jenny Wilson wins 40+ of the UT Sen. vote she should consider it a victory.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #23 on: November 06, 2018, 10:30:26 PM »
Quote from: Green Line on November 06, 2018, 10:26:55 PM
Dems picking up 30-35 seats is not a ~blue wave~, sorry.  Republicans are way over extended in the house right now.  This election is just bringing us back to a more evenly divided Congress.  A blue wave would be pushing the GOP under 200 seats.

I still believe Democrats pick up 40+ seats, and running better than even 2006 is definitely a ~blue wave~.

Ridiculous.
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,954
« Reply #24 on: November 06, 2018, 10:34:19 PM »
Could Democrats win 45-50+ seats, while losing the Senate by 2-3 Seats?

What the hell...
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