NY-09, Special Election Thread

[rbt48]

I think if Weprin can win the remainder of Queens by 60-40, he can pull out a squeaker of a win.

[Wonkish1]

Forest Hills is the most populated piece of Queens in the district right?

I mean Welprin wasn't seriously hoping that Kew Gardens and Fresh Meadows to carry him was he??

Do those two areas even add up to the population of Forest Hills?

Forest Hills is maybe about 15% of the district in Queens - at most. So that means it may be about 10% of the total CD. Again there are much more Dem parts of Queens in the CD than Forest Hills - much more.

I get it but Fresh Meadows is like what? 4% of Queens? and Kew Gardens is about the same?? Its not like you can count on those tiny places to carry you, can you?

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

is there any place to watch live results?

[Torie]

I think if Weprin can win the remainder of Queens by 60-40, he can pull out a squeaker of a win.

No. Not unless the most Dem parts of Brooklyn have not reported at all, and the most GOP parts of Queens are all in. That strikes me as highly doubtful.

[Keystone Phil]

is there any place to watch live results?

I've been searching. Nothing that I can find though.  

[Wonkish1]

I think if Weprin can win the remainder of Queens by 60-40, he can pull out a squeaker of a win.

I think he would actually need slightly more, wouldn't he?

[J. J.]

I think if Weprin can win the remainder of Queens by 60-40, he can pull out a squeaker of a win.

It's now 196 in Queens, the margin is still holding and going up a bit in Brooklyn.

[Keystone Phil]

Over two hundred precincts in in Queens and the gap is narrowing there. Is this one finished yet?

[Wonkish1]

Alright its over!!!

The last tick is all I needed to see.

I would expect some outlets to start calling it soon.

[Torie]

Over two hundred precincts in in Queens and the gap is narrowing there. Is this one finished yet?

It was finished  after about 20 precincts came in, and once I looked at my mappies actually, which I posted. It's obvious.

[J. J.]

216 in in Queens.  50/50.

[Wonkish1]

This thing is going to be absolutely brutal.

3 pts is an unfortunate upset. 6 pts is a clear defeat. 9 pts is a crushing message and when this ends at slightly more than 10 pts it will be an absolute crushing defeat with a national signal you can't spin your way out of.

[rbt48]

Definitely over.  Turner wins as there are nearly as many Brooklyn precincts out as there are in Queens.  And Queens is basically 50-50.  Turner should have a victory margin of ~6000 votes.

[Wonkish1]

Definitely over.  Turner wins as there are nearly as many Brooklyn precincts out as there are in Queens.  And Queens is basically 50-50.  Turner should have a victory margin of ~6000 votes.

Try 8000

[Keystone Phil]

Were the red avatars banned tonight? I haven't seen many of them around these parts.

[cinyc]

is there any place to watch live results?

Again, the larger NYC media doesn't really care much about this race.  They did a story or two on the 11PM news - but it wasn't even the top story.   In a TV market with about 30 CDs, one special election matters little.

If you can get the cable-only NY1 or News 12 Brooklyn, they might be covering it.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Were the red avatars banned tonight? I haven't seen many of them around these parts.

No, just demoralized for the night.

[Miles]

Were the red avatars banned tonight? I haven't seen many of them around these parts.

No, just demoralized for the night.

[Sbane]

I don't know where the red avatars are, but the blue avatars are getting pretty douchey.

[Wonkish1]

Were the red avatars banned tonight? I haven't seen many of them around these parts.

No, just demoralized for the night.

You guys have had some really rough few months. Time for a beer??

[cinyc]

Definitely over.  Turner wins as there are nearly as many Brooklyn precincts out as there are in Queens.  And Queens is basically 50-50.  Turner should have a victory margin of ~6000 votes.

Try 8000

Yup.  Weprin is still on pace to take a 55-44 drubbing, losing by about 7,500 votes out of 68,500.  Reason: Brooklyn's results are lagging Queens' and Weprin is doing slightly better than breakeven in Queens.

[Psychic Octopus]

Yeah, Turner's won this. By a margin bigger than I expected, too (For what it is worth, I was predicting a 50-49 win for the GOP).

Were the red avatars banned tonight? I haven't seen many of them around these parts.

No, just demoralized for the night.

When are you guys not demoralized?

[Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God]

If Weprin loses, it's looking like a Massachusetts repeat: another Democrat who assumes it's just "in the bag" because there are more registered Democrats than Republicans, and just sleeps around in his campaign office all day expecting a good race.  It's also no help that the voters didn't get to vote in primaries for this one.

[Miles]

Were the red avatars banned tonight? I haven't seen many of them around these parts.

No, just demoralized for the night.

You guys have had some really rough few months. Time for a beer??

I don't really care about NY-09; it was NV-02 that really has me disappointed.

Thanks, but I don't drink! lol

[Sbane]

Were the red avatars banned tonight? I haven't seen many of them around these parts.

No, just demoralized for the night.

You guys have had some really rough few months. Time for a beer??

No, it's time to elect Perry and get rid of Medicare and Social Security. Then let the fun begin!