How likely is a double digit win for Hillary?

[HagridOfTheDeep]

If she chooses a latino running mate, her upside will be particularily high. And the answer is a resounding yes, very likely I think. Very likely as in 20-25% of the time. (Just a wild guess right now though.)

I sure hope she picks Julian Castro. That'd be a Palin-esque pick.

Remember when Sarah Palin went to Harvard Law School?  Because I sure don't.

Dubya has degrees from Harvard AND Yale. He is the genius president of our time.

Maybe that's a little hyperbolic, but he's certainly not as stupid as the media likes to insinuate.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Fair enough.

For the record, I think a blowout of this magnitude is more likely than people think. I know the United States is pretty polarized at the moment, but the centre does still exist. Not only are demographics changing to favour the Democrats, but we shouldn't forget that a lot of people are changing their minds on key issues, too. I'd be interested to see a poll between generic R and generic D for presidential candidates.