PPP strikes out again (user search)
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  PPP strikes out again (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP strikes out again  (Read 6574 times)
Joe Republic
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Posts: 40,116
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« on: May 05, 2011, 05:05:19 PM »

Interestingly, after an analysis of PPP and Rasmussen's final polls in each state ahead of last year's senatorial elections (and note that I'm only talking about the senatorial polls right now), both agencies overestimated the Republican candidates' eventual results.

In terms of percentage margin, PPP were on average 2.4 points more favorable to the Republicans, compared with 3.3 points from Rasmussen.
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Joe Republic
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Posts: 40,116
Ukraine


« Reply #1 on: May 06, 2011, 04:53:41 AM »
« Edited: May 06, 2011, 05:10:03 AM by Joe Republic »

However, the last polls for Senate for Arizona, Florida, Iowa, Louisiana and New Hampshire showed a tighter race between the republican and democrat candidates than was actually the case.

Those polls can be reviewed at RealClearPolitics.

Meanwhile, their last polls for West Virginia, Washington, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Illinois, Colorado, California, Alaska, Kentucky and Wisconsin showed the Republican candidate performing better than they actually did.

Those polls can be reviewed at this website.


(And whereas the final polls I cited were all conducted in the last week of October, the Iowa poll you cited was from late May.  Although it was indeed the last poll PPP conducted there, it doesn't seem particularly relevant to our discussion.)
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