PPP National: Clinton +4 (user search)
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  PPP National: Clinton +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP National: Clinton +4  (Read 2582 times)
SirMuxALot
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Posts: 368


« on: September 29, 2016, 02:35:20 AM »

Again... noting that polls taken less than 48 hours after a debate rarely pick up the scale of any changes.

Are you sure?

The two biggest debate polling bounces I can remember (2000 & 2012) saw the peak of those bounces happen immediately in the snap polls in the first 48 hours.

After Obama-Romney I, Romney's bounce was highest in the first 48 hours.  And by the RCP average measurement (a lagging metric), Romney was all the way back to pre-debate numbers only 1 week later.

My memory is a little foggier on 2000, but I do recall Bush's bounce after the Gore "sigh" debate also showed up in the snap polls immediately.  That bounce hung around a little longer, but Bush's best polling numbers in October were the ones done immediately after the debate...I vaguely recall Bush getting his first 50+ poll immediately after that debate.
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