National Tracking Poll Thread

[Umengus]

Ipsos-reuters

Obama: 47 (+1)
Romney: 46 (=)

[Umengus]

rand poll

Obama 48 (-1)
Romney: 46 (+1)

It's 49-46.

O 48,86
R 46,21

To be correct

[Umengus]

Remember the national polls are missing the Northeast right now.

not rand

[Umengus]

Battleground-politico:

Obama: 48 (-1)
Romney: 48

Party id: D +3 ("true independents": 14 %)

"Independents are now split evenly, with Obama up 44 to 43 percent. A week ago, Romney had a 10-point advantage among this key demographic. The ranks of independents shrunk partly because more right-leaning voters now supporting Romney identified with the Republican Party."

"Democrats continue to have an advantage on early voting, but Republicans closed the gap somewhat over the past week.

A full 27 percent of those surveyed said they’ve already cast their ballot. Of them, Obama leads 50 to 48 percent."

"A final poll is being conducted this weekend and Monday"

[Umengus]

Ras

Obama: 49 (+1)
ROmney: 49 (+1)

"These figures include both those who have already voted and those likely to vote. Obama leads among those who have already voted, while Romney leads among those deemed likely to vote. Thirty-nine percent (39%) of voters are projected to be Democrats and 37% Republicans. Both candidates do well within their own party, while Romney has a nine-point advantage among unaffiliated voters. "

So party id: D+2

[Umengus]

ipsos-reuters

Obama: 47 (=)
Romney: 46 % (=)

just for fun:

Ohio: O 46 R 45
FL: O 47 R 47
VA: O 48 R 45
CO: O 45 R 47

[Umengus]

rand poll

Obama 49 (+0,4)
Romney: 46 (-0,4)

Zogby

Obama: 47 (-1)
Romney: 47 (+1)

[Umengus]

There seems to be more coalescing between the polls. The difference between the best Obama and Best Romney polls was up to 11 points last Sunday. Tomorrow Gallup returns to the fold. Their last poll was Romney so maybe they will return us to more divergence. My bet is they will be closer to a tie +/-2.

Sunday Summary

POLL: Lead (day change) [week change]

Rand:          Obama +3    (-)                  [R+4]
PPP:            Obama +3   (O+2)             [O+4]
Reuters:      Obama +1   (-)                   [R+2]  
Rasmussen: TIED            (-)                   [O+3]
Zogby:         TIED            (R+3)             [new]
ABC:            TIED            (O+1)             [O+2]

Average: Obama +1.2 (-) [O +0.5]


UPI:        (no poll)
TIPP:      (no poll)  
Gallup:    (no poll)

thank

it seems to me that abc was tied yesterday and zogby is R +2 and not R+3