WSJ: Gideon 43 Collins 42

[Hindsight was 2020]

https://mobile.twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1229874293812715529

[Perlen vor den Schweinen]

Collins is neither clearly winning OR losing, but somewhere in between - so I imagine she is moderately pleased with her standing here.

[Gracile]

The independents may be crucial in determining the outcome if both candidates get below the 50% threshold in RCV, as this poll suggests.

[libertpaulian]

Is she concerned?  Perhaps even slightly troubled?

[Frenchrepublican]

Not a great poll for Collins

What's the record of this pollster ?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Yeah buddy!

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Cook: "lEaN r"

[Gracile]

Cook: "lEaN r"

Cook currently has it as a tossup.

[Horsemask]

Not a great poll for Collins, but not the end of the world yet. Hope Gideon wins.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Cook: "lEaN r"

Cook currently has it as a tossup.

Right, yes. It's Crystal Ball with it at Lean R.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This ends Collins is safe GOP argument  278 blue wall races are gone for Trump, and Collims acquitted Trump

[pppolitics]

Finally a ME sen poll!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Now we need primary polls in MA and DEL, with fall of Biden, Kennedy and Scarene should win

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Praise Jesus can it be?! I don’t care what happens in the Senate races as long as she loses. So damn annoying

[UncleSam]

Worth noting Trump’s approval in this poll is 39/60. Would seem to indicate that Collins is likely to outrun Trump by maybe 3-4 points in November, which is consistent with a close but Lean R race imo. She’s definitely vulnerable, although the RCV aspect probably helps her to some extent.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Worth noting Trump’s approval in this poll is 39/60. Would seem to indicate that Collins is likely to outrun Trump by maybe 3-4 points in November, which is consistent with a close but Lean R race imo. She’s definitely vulnerable, although the RCV aspect probably helps her to some extent.

Unless you are expecting Maine to be a pure Tossup at the Presidential level, Collins outrunning Trump by 3-4 points doesn’t put the race in “Lean R” territory. If it’s anywhere like it was in 2016 with a small but significant Democratic win, the Senate race race is as close to a tossup as can be

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

FREEDOM POLL

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Acquittal and Fox news, that's what you get, and Collims will lose her career over it.

It's okay to listen to it, but not to be beholden to the News station

[Progressive Pessimist]

I would say "FINISH HER!" like Scorpion from Mortal Kombat, but she doesn't even have a spine that can even be pulled out.

Seriously though, it's nice to see that this race will be a tossup after all. Collins is in for the race of her life, and if there is any justice in the world her cowardice will not be rewarded with another term.

[MT Treasurer]

Only on Atlas would a junky university poll with no crosstabs (?) and tons of undecideds generate so many scorching hot takes.

[Gracile]

Only on Atlas would a junky university poll with no crosstabs (?) and tons of undecideds generate so many scorching hot takes.

Here are the crosstabs (it's the same poll as the one I posted in the presidential section):

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1J_sj0VbK1zPUcErKBWIvCc5d6wFvwhKr_zageM2-I_I/edit#gid=457256029

[Figueira]

Only on Atlas would a junky university poll with no crosstabs (?) and tons of undecideds generate so many scorching hot takes.

Unlike everywhere else in the world, where everyone is completely rational and informed when discussing political polls.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Just wanted to point out...while Democrats seem to be sharply divided in the Presidential contest, we seem to unite in our disgust for Susan Collins. So there’s that!

[smoltchanov]

Well, a tpical case, where party loyalty sharply conflicts with generally moderate instincts. In this case loyalty prevailed. With predictable consequences.

[Calthrina950]

This poll shows a significant number of undecideds, and that's never a good thing. However, this provides further confirmation that Collins is in for a tough fight this year, and will not be sailing to reelection as she has in the past. I maintain that she will win by a narrow margin (2-5% or so) when it is all said and done. This is probably a Tossup at this point, with Collins still a slight favorite.