wallace48
Newbie
Posts: 2
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« on: December 06, 2020, 03:40:15 PM » |
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Maybe. I think Democrats definitely overestimate how much salience immigration can have with some Hispanic voters. One interesting trend I've noticed looking at some historical data is that Bush in 92' only declined a little bit with Hispanic voters (and even improved in some places like the RGV and heavily hispanic parts of South Florida) while doing a lot worse with white voters, while many of Clinton's biggest gains in 96' were in heavily Hispanic areas. Along with Obama's famous improvement with Hispanics in 2012, I wonder if this is an important trend to take note of, although I do think it's that Trump 2016 was the floor for the GOP with Hispanic voters and whoever their nominee is in 2024 will do a decent bit better.
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