VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) (user search)
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  VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)  (Read 99755 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,193
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: November 07, 2017, 11:34:48 AM »
Didn't follow the VA, NJ etc. races at all so far, but I'd find it extremely shocking if Gillespie wins today.

Or comes even close to winning ...

It's an off-year election with an incumbent President stuck at a 40% approval, or below.

At least in the past 30 years, in such a case, the opposition party has always won in VA and NJ ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,193
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2017, 11:38:12 AM »
Quote from: Bosse on November 07, 2017, 11:35:40 AM
Fairfax City voters are turning out to vote today. 3,412 voters before 11 a.m. We are at 29% including absentee. Impressive #ElectionDay 

Turnout in the US is always relative(ly) low compared with much of Europe though ...

By saying "turnout is massive today !", you are probably talking about 45-50% turnout.

In Austria it was 80% a few weeks ago, in Germany 76%.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,193
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2017, 03:03:01 AM »
The results are about what I expected ... but VA more Dem than I thought and NJ less so.

Still, I would have swallowed a broomstick if Gillepsie won this (or even came close to) ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,193
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2017, 02:34:09 PM »
Fun with turnout statistics (using Austria as a comparison, because VA, NJ and NYC have virtually the same population):

VA: 2.6 million

NJ: 2.1 million

NYC: 1.1 million

AUT: 5.1 million

Always amazing how low the turnout in the US is ...

The turnout in our election 3 weeks ago was even higher than PA's in last years Presidential election. But PA has almost 13 million people compared with 9 million here.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,193
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2017, 02:38:49 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 08, 2017, 02:34:09 PM
Fun with turnout statistics (using Austria as a comparison, because VA, NJ and NYC have virtually the same population):

VA: 2.6 million

NJ: 2.1 million

NYC: 1.1 million

AUT: 5.1 million

Always amazing how low the turnout in the US is ...

The turnout in our election 3 weeks ago was even higher than PA's in last years Presidential election. But PA has almost 13 million people compared with 9 million here.

The comparison with Dutch turnout this year:

Almost 11 million people voted in the Dutch election.

That is 10x the turnout of NYC, despite Holland only having 2x NYC's population ...

So, basically Dutch turnout is 5x higher than NYC's ...
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