Latinos (Nationwide, Latino Decisions): Biden +32 and +36

[wbrocks67]

Initial ballot:
49% Biden
17% Trump
35% undecided

Pushed:
59% Biden
23% Trump
18% still undecided

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/joe-biden-poll-latino-voters/

For context, Dems won Latinos by 40% in 2018 midterms (69-29) and Hillary won Latinos by 38% in 2016 (66-28)

So Biden is already close to those #s with some still undecided.

[ProudModerate2]

Looks pretty good so far.
Could be better.

[Eraserhead]

Initial ballot:
49% Biden
17% Trump
35% undecided

Pushed:
59% Biden
23% Trump
18% still undecided

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/joe-biden-poll-latino-voters/

For context, Dems won Latinos by 40% in 2018 midterms (69-29) and Hillary won Latinos by 38% in 2016 (66-28)

So Biden is already close to those #s with some still undecided.

Hillary lost so he should hope to do better.

[Person Man]

If they break heavy-ish for Trump, Biden gets Hillary numbers. If they break down the middle, Biden gets 2018 numbers.

[BlueSwan]

I still find it insane that Trump can even break 10% with latin americans.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I still find it insane that Trump can even break 10% with latin americans.

They are not a monolith by any means.

[Horus]

I still find it insane that Trump can even break 10% with latin americans.

You've never met any Cuban-Americans.

[The Mikado]

I still find it insane that Trump can even break 10% with latin americans.

Besides the aforementioned Cubans (and he probably does pretty well with Venezuelan-Americans as well), I'd expect his numbers among Tejanos (old-school Texas Hispanics whose ancestry in the US goes back 100 years or more) are pretty decent. They're the reason why Texas Hispanic polls always end up like 60-40 D-R rather than the overwhelmingly D numbers you get in many other places: there's a very integrated older Hispanic community in Texas in particular who tend to have a pretty stable and senior position in parts of southern Texas and some degree of disdain/contempt for more recent Hispanic immigrants.

But yeah, Trump hitting 25-30% among Hispanics is not at all unusual or outlandish. If he does any better than that range, there's a real problem. And Dems should hope it's closer to 25% rather than 30%.

[pbrower2a]

I still find it insane that Trump can even break 10% with latin americans.

Cuban-Americans in Florida, still rather right-leaning.

[ElectionsGuy]

This firm always overestimates Democrats. In 2016 they had close to 80% going for Clinton. Most other polls show a lot of undecideds but Trump getting 25-30% while Biden gets 55-60%

[BaldEagle1991]

I still find it insane that Trump can even break 10% with latin americans.

I'd expect his numbers among Tejanos (old-school Texas Hispanics whose ancestry in the US goes back 100 years or more) are pretty decent. They're the reason why Texas Hispanic polls always end up like 60-40 D-R rather than the overwhelmingly D numbers you get in many other places: there's a very integrated older Hispanic community in Texas in particular who tend to have a pretty stable and senior position in parts of southern Texas and some degree of disdain/contempt for more recent Hispanic immigrants.

Not only that they're like 30-50% Evangelical Protestant

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Initial ballot:
49% Biden
17% Trump
35% undecided

Pushed:
59% Biden
23% Trump
18% still undecided

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/joe-biden-poll-latino-voters/

For context, Dems won Latinos by 40% in 2018 midterms (69-29) and Hillary won Latinos by 38% in 2016 (66-28)

So Biden is already close to those #s with some still undecided.

Bolded mine.

You are comparing Apples and Oranges. Latino Decisions conducts their polling differently from how exit polls sample the Latino electorate, and as a result has had a strong Democratic house effect.

In 2016, Latino Decisions found that Latinos voted 79% for Clinton, and 18% for Trump.
https://latinodecisions.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/National_and_State_by_State_Toplines.pdf

In 2018, Latino Decisions found that 74% of Latinos voted for the House Democratic Candidate, and 24% voted for the Hosue GOP candidate.
https://latinodecisions.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Latino_Xtab_Demographics.pdf

This is a disastrous poll for Biden if this is even close to being accurate.

This definitely doesn't look good, you are right.
When does Latino decisions release its next poll?

[wbrocks67]

The problems with a lot of these polls is that the pollsters don't push the undecideds. You can't tell me even after pushing in this one, that nearly 20% is still undecided or doesn't at least lean.