FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8 (user search)
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  FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8  (Read 20009 times)
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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Posts: 17,771
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« on: November 01, 2016, 09:14:34 PM »

So, if the polls from today are to be believed, Florida will vote 15 points to the left of North Carolina. What year is it again?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,771
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 10:18:30 PM »

538 just adjusted this to Clinton +6. They also give it relatively little weight.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,771
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2016, 10:54:31 PM »

How many has actually alredy voted in Florida?

311 of 718 (43.3%) respondents in the TargetSmart poll are known to have voted early.

For comparison, as of this morning, 4,077,521 voters in FL have voted early, which is 48.1% of the TOTAL (early + election-day) vote in 2012 (8,474,134).



Wow, didn't know that EV was so popular in USA...

It's really a surging phenomenon. From 2000 to now, it's absolutely exploded. It was 16% in 2000, it could flirt with 50% this year.

It'd probably be less necessary if there were anywhere near the appropriate amount of polling locations and voting on election day didn't mean waiting in line for several hours.
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