Atlas Google Consumer Survey polls megathread

[Moderate Pennsylvanian]

I submitted a poll for Alaska, 435 responses.

[Moderate Pennsylvanian]

I'll save the results until the end, but my Alaska poll, started yesterday morning, is now more than halfway completed.

[Moderate Pennsylvanian]

Alaska results:
10/19 to 10/22
435 total respondents
If the election for President of the United States were today, who would you vote for?
Randomized choices were Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Gary Johnson, and Jill Stein. No option for not registered.
I weighted for LV only:
Trump 42
Clinton 37
Johnson 15
Stein 6

Seems pretty reasonable except the third-party numbers are too high.

[Moderate Pennsylvanian]

I don't think the third-party numbers are high for Alaska; the state has a long history of third parties doing much better than the national average.  Also, the current governor was elected as an Independent.  Here's a (partial?) list since 1968:

1968: George Wallace got 12.1% in Alaska, a little less than the 13.5% he got nationally but quite high for a non-Southern state (and Alaska is about as non-Southern as you can get!)
1972: John Schmitz of the American Party got 7.2; nationally he got 1.5.
1976: Roger Macbride (Libertarian) got 5.5, nationally 0.2
1980: John Anderson 7.0 (6.6 nationally); Ed Clark (LP) 11.7 (1.1)
1984: David Bergland (LP) 3.1 (0.2)
1988: Ron Paul (LP) 2.7 (0.5)
1992: Ross Perot (Reform) 28.4 (18.9)
1996: Perot 10.9 (8.4), Ralph Nader (Green) 3.1 (0.7)
2000: Nader 10.1 (2.7) Pat Buchanan (Reform) 1.8 (0.4)
2004: Nader 1.6 (0.4)
2008: Nader 1.2 (0.6)
2012: Gary Johnson (LP) 2.5 (1.0)

Not impossible then, although I'd still be surprised personally. I'd say the Johnson 15 is more likely than the Stein 6.

[Moderate Pennsylvanian]

Unfortunately, the coupon offer seems to be over.

I will probably do another poll this week or next.  Any suggestions?  I prefer doing polls for rarely-polled states.  I'm thinking maybe Nebraska.  If the sample size is large enough, we might be able to guestimate NE-02.

I'm unable to reply to messages. I'll suggest Mississippi if you run another poll.