Be a bit surprised, but mostly not really care that much since the Dem would have been Clinton I wouldn't have a horse in the race. Most likely a Cruz presidency and Clinton presidency would be similar in how it actually impacts my life. There would be some differences of course in judicial nominees and some legislation passed here and there, but nothing so major that it'd impact my life. They'd both continue the surveillance state and interfering abroad. Despite what someone like Cruz says, I doubt we'd see major tax changes, probably just a few cuts for the wealthy. As mentioned the dems would probably quickly take over congress so it'd probably be a lot like right now where little is done.
Please be realistic. If Republicans win the presidency 2016, they will do so with nominal house losses and probably hold even or so in the senate despite the favorable senate map due to coattails and whatnot.
In 2018, there are four vulnerable democratic senators in states where Romney won comfortable victories (MT, ND, IN, MO) that will have very tough battles to defend their seats in ANY midterm, regardless of the party of the president and their national popularity, due to democratic turnout problems in midterms and the simple fundamentals in their state. Also, if Manchin retires, his seat will become EXTREMELY vulnerable because of how deeply republican WV has become in recent years. Furthermore, even if democrats somehow hold all of their own seats, there are only 2 POSSIBLE senate pickups for democrats,
no matter WHAT. A net gain of 2 seats in 2018, after a republican-leaning 2016, will probably NOT be enough for democrats to regain the senate. Furthermore, the house is so gerrymandered that, barring a 2008-style wave year, it simply CANNOT flip until at least after the next census, in 2022, and even that would be contingent on democrats doing well among governorships in 2018.
Stop this delusion that the house and senate are Likely D in 2018 if Republicans win in 2016. It's an illogical, troll style argument that has little basis in terms of what's realistic given midterm turnout patterns, the 2018 senate map, and the republican gerrymandering fortress.
