Current (10/8) best case scenarios for both parties

[JRP1994]

BEST FOR DEMS

Orman and Pressler caucus with Democrats; Dems lose MT and WV; pick up GA and KY

D:57 R+43
Result: D+2


BEST FOR GOP

R:55 D:45
Result: R+10


MY ACTUAL CURRENT PREDICTION

Orman caucuses with GOP

R:53 D+47
Result: R+8

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

That looks like a good depiction of the realistic ceilings.

For the "absolute bloodbaths", dems would hold WV and MT, Weiland would win in SD, and they would gain MS (in addition to everything else on the first map), for a 59-41 majority.

The republican absolute bloodbath would be the second map + gaining VA, OR, MN, MI, NJ, IL, for a 61-39 majority.

[windjammer]

Guys seriously,
I would be surprised if Orman wins.

[IceSpear]

Agreed with your ceilings.

[SWE]

Same as yours, minus Brown winning New Hampshire

[The Other Castro]

Guys seriously,
I would be surprised if Orman wins.

At this point, I'd be surprised if he lost.

[Indy Texas]

I don't see Shaheen losing. Scott Brown is overrated and his starry-eyed insistence on being a US Senator is as delusional as the career schemes of a certain Forumite.

Cory Gardner doesn't win either. Colorado is just not moving in that direction.

[Senator Cris]

Best REP scenario: victories in SD, MT, WV, AR, LA, AK, IA, CO, NC, KS. So R + 9
Best DEM scenario: victories in SD, AR, LA, AK, IA, CO, NC, KS. So R + 2 and I + 1.

[ElectionsGuy]

Best Scenario for R's: Net R+9

Best Scenario for D's: Net D+1

Pressler and Orman both caucus with D's. Looks extremely unrealistic and unlikely because of the many races that only lean R.

My prediction:

Net R+7 to R+6. Either way, R's would have senate majority no matter what Orman does.