At this point...

[Torie]

Obama would win at the moment, but now is not November. I consider the election a tossup, with a fairly wide range of outcomes.

Mittens' most likely path to victory:



Second most likely:



Never has NH had more importance.

[Torie]

Torie, why for heavens sake do you think Romney wins WI before CO or PA ?

CO has those Hispanics whom I think will give Mittens the cold shoulder, and I think Wisconsin has  more swingable voters than PA, Obama won't do that well in the German belt, and the WI Pubs by November will be seen as having their emasculation of the public employee unions vindicated. Just a guess. As I said, the Mittens more likely path to victory is through Richmond.