Badger, competition in theory forces cost control, or you go out of business. We need more competition, and more transparency to facilitate it. I don't see why there are economies of scale when it comes to insurance plans so massive that it requires 200 million participants to reach max efficiency. And why does anyone think what the government runs would be efficient anyway, particularly given the political pressures, not to mention well, public employee unions? No, what this is about is muscling out over time private alternatives, and squeezing vendors with monopsony buying power, so it will not be profitable for anymore hospitals to be built absent government subsidies, or private company drug research, as the existing capital base of those entities is cannibalized. And then 20 years from now, folks scream, hey the market does not work because no hospitals are being built, we cannot attract new doctors to the profession, and no drug research is being done anymore, and thus the government needs to run all that too, all of course with public funds.
There is no free lunch, and the notion that the government can effect massive cost savings to deliver health care is ludicrous, just ludicrous. Having said that, the health care system is in general hideously inefficient, in part due to government regulation and lack of transparency. Heck, next to nothing when it comes to medical records is computerized, leading to mistakes and ignorance. That is why I have all my medical records in hand, all of them, so I can tell medical providers basically what is wrong with me, and what I expect, and what my delta function has been. If I did not do that, my care would be less efficacious then it is.
Anyway, government has a cost of capital too, and what profits are about, is compensating capital. And that cost includes risk, which is hidden from government, because that risk is absorbed when things go wrong, with well higher costs and taxes and deficits, and inflation, and you name it. It is far higher than the interest rate on T bills and bonds.
So much to refute, so little time....
First off, slow down. More competition and greater transparency is exactly what a public option entails. Again,
no conservatives are arguing a public option will be unfair because of any federal subsidies---because there won't be any. They're
conceding that the public option will be more cost effective and efficient at delivering health care than private sector insurers can
without subsidies. Their position is providing health insurance options to the tens of millions of insured and underinsured is less important than protecting insurance companies from this additional competition. Why? It's the government and that's bad, and private insurers are businesses and that's good. The providing millions with health insurance
cheaper and more efficiently is unimportant compared to a violation of their rabid anti-government orthodoxy. A completely indefensibly argument, really. It's these same 'protectionist' conservatives who simultaneously--and apparently with no realization of their contradiction--still claim 'government can't do anything right'. Except provide health insurance apparently.
Which leads to my second point; all the calamities like hospitals closing you predict don't begin to add up. How does broader health insurance result in less demand for medical services? Check out this thread:
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=99395.0Listen to the many folks who actually have some level of national health insurance none of whom (with one exception from Portugal, and that's practically third world and doesn't count) :-P would trade our system for theirs. Somehow hospitals still function and thrive.
Consider the post office. Despite the government "muscling out competition" with cheap efficient service, UPS and Fed Ex still do just fine. Competition for the market--isn't it great?
No, health care reform will not be a free lunch. Of course there will be costs. The question is whether or not a public option is better than the expensive patchwork system we currently have that even conservatives concede insures fewer people at higher cost, and is not effectively controlling the rising costs of medicaid and medicare either. The clear answer here, unless one is a diehard anti-government ideologue, is "bring on the public option".
And isn't that the whole point here? If it's shown on a broad basis that government
can provide a national benefit relatively cheaply and efficiently, doesn't that undermine the central conservative Republican philosophy that government can't do anything right (except fight wars)? Wouldn't the success of public health insurance show <gasp> St. Reagan was
wrong and, more importantly, undercut the very argument for voting Republican to tens of millions? You bet your ass.
Conservatives aren't scared Obama's health care plan will fail as they publicly assert; they're scared to death it'll
succeed. Because while that'd be great for the country, it'd be a disaster for the GOP.